Wednesday, February 18, 2026

To Pokimane, pt 26

Lines 8217 to 8241 of 'online tasks2, 16 Sep 2022.txt':

16 Feb 2026
a female character in a dream: "I deride the whole notion that the forces of good and the forces of evil must engage in constant battle to avert some great calamity" the ending was changed from "evil" before the sentence finished, in order for it to make sense

it lacks a bit of flavor, because the character had been pretending to be ignorant or stupid before she said that, but the prior conversation was very brief and I had already forgotten it and the context as soon as I woke up (search led to: https://richarddawkins.net/2014/08/a-hundred-walked-out-of-my-lecture/)

but the male character she was talking to was sort of an undead rogue, who probably appeared in the dream a minute earlier to demonstrate the stupidity of the rogue by stealthing at the hint of enemy rogues, and then stupidly unstealthing because he thought the danger had passed. So he was supposed to be part of the 'forces of evil', or something like it

sort of like how in Villains by Necessity, the rogue Sam (Samalander) was part of the forces of evil

*the assassin, Sam (Samalander)

Poll: "Is it bad for law enforcement to engage in law enforcement?"

AoE2: mouse position on edge of map wrong? https://youtu.be/clnh8JV6qws?t=328 *probably, "uses a default elevation to translate mouse position to XY coordinate, instead of the same elevation as adjacent map"


18 Feb 2026
AoE2: 'limited unit coop' mode could be combined with limited APM. Maybe best way to do a tournament, as it allows top players to control the empire without putting all the focus on them. APM limit set per player, similar to handicap. 20 APM (as actual commands, or eAPM) for the empire players, no limit for the 'limited unit coop' players.

Better for a tournament with a high prize pool, as instead of 'a random player', or 'a player selected from a pool with an arbitrary limit on ladder rating', can select the best player possible, just with limited APM.

sort of news:
Blizzard doing something https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_1igXyFi8pE

You're the ruler of the world. You thought it would be easy, but majority of people hate you. Most cities you visit, huge protests by people who blame you for every single problem in their lives, including crime, police brutality, inflation, taxes, Covid-19, and vaccines. They also believe horrible lies about things you've secretly done. How can you use your unlimited power to become less hated?


Share the idea if you watched Cang Lan Jue drama (Love Between Fairy and Devil).

To Pokimane, pt 25

I'm criticizing your latest TikTok video, on Arabian makeup, for having correct lip sync or audio sync at the end. The evidence, including comments by creators who are trying to get correct audio sync, strongly suggests that audio on the TikTok app is delayed by about 0.13 sec on a typical smartphone. I would recommend that any creator use multiple smartphones to view a simple test video and see if they differ in sync, and then repeat the test after restarting the devices.

Examples, all using the same song (viewed using Claptik):

Video by @frenchfuse

Video by @gordeewa__13

Video by @latina_rusin_ (dc @rayvlo)

A short clip looped many times, with gradual drift in audio sync by slowing video, would be the easiest way to measure a device's audio delay.

Your previous TikTok video, introducing your close friends, also had several instances of the start of words being cut off during editing.

The description of your video mentions Ramadan, a month which is given special significance. (Also, it's crazy that "Arabs of Tihamah, Hejaz, and Najd distinguished between two types of months, permitted (ḥalāl) and forbidden (ḥarām) months. The forbidden months were four months during which fighting is forbidden".) On the topic of religion, an exercise for the reader:

A hundred walked out of my lecture | Richard Dawkins Foundation for Reason and Science

This article has good detail. The author did not understand the events that happened, but said enough for a reader to guess (unlike a description like, "I came home and misplaced my keys. Can you tell me where they might be?"). Why did this speaker say the things that she did, and why did her audience react as they did, instead of as she expected them to?

To Pokimane, pt 24

"Remember when" is sort of like an inside joke, used in cases where someone might not actually remember the thing, like when Sherine said "Remember when my crush favorited my tweet" a few hours after it happened, in case anyone had not noticed.

Remember when I said to Sherine, "there is no reason to be sad"? (Apparently this was before I started documenting my messages to her, so if Tumblr doesn't keep messages there might be no record that I said this to her.) I'm mentioning this because I'm mentioning Demi Rose Mawby, and there is the possibility that she could be sad, if she is not in a relationship. But why would she be sad that she is not in a relationship, if it's because she didn't share the idea? Did she choose not to share the idea and be sad, or was not sharing it the choice that would make her less sad?

I'm mentioning Demi Rose Mawby because of the emotion that I felt she was experiencing at a certain point of time. It was, I think, after I linked the video for 'vanished the life -notreborn' from the album Closed System, which features a cat that disappears and then reappears. I felt there was a definite possibility that Demi Rose misinterpreted why I linked it, because she seemed inappropriately happy and (I think) got a cat soon after, but I wasn't trying to say that "a cat will make you happy". I was the cat.

I wasn't going to say anything more here, after Greta posted on Instagram again. I am doing so because it I think your Valentine's Day videos were filmed at home, which would mean you were back from China and the video you posted today was filmed several days ago (with the intention of later editing and posting it).

Honestly, I disliked this video, introducing two of your best friends, until the very end, where you joked about moving to Shanghai. And I confused your friend with your neighbor, until now.

Most videos on social media are about being happy (or angry). I remember an exception: a Chinese influencer, who regularly got like 500k~1m likes per video, posted a video in which she explained that she was being harassed IRL. It's natural for anyone who is featured in a video to think that they should appear to be happy for the audience.


I searched the file with my messages to Sherine for 'unhappy', in case I said that instead of 'sad', and I still don't see that message, but I do see this:

If you aren't going to support the idea I'm only concerned with making sure you're not unhappy

I think that a smart person would find it obvious that a person who wants other people to be happy might not want others to know this, even if that person is smart enough not to be taken advantage of (anticipating 'defections' in prisoner's dilemma games, and applying 'pre-emptive justice'). Like, on 13 Feb 2026, I thought of this,

Poll for females: Would you prefer to be in a relationship with someone who would reject someone for being ugly, or someone who wouldn't?

(As well as making a note to look up "distance to Erendil star?", which is 28 billion light-years.)

Or, as a character in Love Game in Eastern Fantasy told another character in a scene which I linked before to someone, maybe Giggly aka Madison, males shouldn't be too nice to females other than the one they're most interested in.

I'm copying some thoughts I had about MMOs, which have nothing to do with any of the above.

14 Feb 2026

[...]

Note that even if rogues could use bucklers, bucklers would be useless against casters (without a 'shield bash' ability) and also useless when target is stunned. Again, depends on having a penalty for switching weapons.


WoW: note problem, that when low-level world PvP is nonexistent, people don't think of it when evaluating potential design changes. Effects of power inflation from raiding, or from super-fast flying mounts.

"Option to view damage and health numbers as though future stat squishes have already been applied." A joke because stat squish makes different item qualities more similar, so mobs would die with a similar number of casts, but the 'visual-only version' does not have this consequence, so better gear = same dps but mobs appear to have lower health, which is inconsistent with the stat squish.


15 Feb 2026
top comment https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZM5kLkO8ehk&lc=Ugym635I0XHA0UmDA8N4AaABAg GDKP, gold buying. Just part of the problem of 'game is not fun if you have low progression'. Botting or powerleveling part of the same problem, which is the same problem as 'activities at low levels are not fun when there are high-level players who interfere'. People see the effect (gold buying), and complain about it, but don't understand the cause and support changes to fix it.

bugged VOD: https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2696279315 https://youtu.be/swof8BcSjxQ?t=22 but downloads fine with yt-dlp

WoW: perspective: if the game changes to make low levels more relevant and fun, but playerbase doesn't change, then it represents a change in power and importance, away from 'players with a high playtime' and towards 'players with a low playtime'. Most types of content creation are biased towards creators with a high investment in a topic, so many streamers would be disadvantaged by this change, might not feel interested in pushing for it.

Noting that with some games, 'players who have invested enough time to become very skilled' get attention, while in MMOs it's often 'players who have invested enough time to be high level with good gear'. Rarely do players with low playtime do things that interest other people. If they do, game is often 'casual' and not worth 1000 hours of playtime. Riot trying to make LoL more friendly to new players: https://www.pcgamer.com/games/moba/a-major-overhaul-of-league-of-legends-is-reportedly-coming-in-2027-once-were-done-it-should-be-the-best-time-ever-to-get-your-friends-into-league/

Making game more interesting for new players may mean making it less interesting for those with 2k+ hours.

"It's pretty hard to click on someone and then click to move and then click back on someone at super high speeds. This is a skill current players have put a lot of time into so if that skill were obsoleted a lot of players would quit" https://old.reddit.com/r/leagueoflegends/comments/1ql5yi8/comment/o1bw3v0/ (compare https://old.reddit.com/r/leagueoflegends/comments/1pdqick/couldnt_be_happier_wasd_genuinely_sucks_for_high/, and via https://www.pcgamer.com/games/moba/league-of-legends-just-got-wasd-controls-after-16-years-and-you-can-probably-guess-how-smoothly-the-rollouts-going/)

aka, auto everything

comment https://www.pcgamer.com/games/mmo/league-of-legends-mmo-shows-signs-of-life-as-riot-adds-a-former-world-of-warcraft-lead-producer-to-its-roster/#vf-068b2af5-001b-4c53-bc64-dd0cb29dac29

"Of course, anyone paying attention could've told you Ashes of Creation was DOA before it even came out because PVP-oriented MMOs are guaranteed failures."

Players with more playtime get more attention, and have higher status. PvE MMO: they can do PvE things that new players cannot. But PvP MMO: they can do PvP things that new players cannot, which means winning. And MMO means lack of restrictions between experienced players fighting new players, that a ladder system has. So, the tension between "good for new players, or experienced players feel unrewarded" is a bit more zero-sum in the actual play experiences, as opposed to just in content creation surrounding a game or whether friends care what you do.

Note difficulty in not rewarding high playtime: players like to think that they and their friends are high status. If a particular activity (like a game) does not give them this, they may feel it doesn't reflect their reality of being 'better than average'.

"on live server people will just ask "which faction should i join" (like they always ask "which class is the best") and it results in over/underrepresentation because naturally most people want to join the strongest one and it tends to snowball from there" https://old.reddit.com/r/AshesofCreation/comments/wdy4xd/comment/iiljs51/

similar to 'aggressor' mechanics for determining whether there are penalties for killing a low-level player: https://web.archive.org/web/20230528023143/https://ashesofcreation.wiki/Player_flagging

Example of issue: killing bots. "you have the potential of losing your gear. Your combat efficacy decreases based on the amount of corruption you accrue." And if higher level means more powerful, then high level players can still interfere in fights between low-level players with no consequences.

contact: "Intrepid are investigating a potential bidding system, which allows players to bid on items instead of rolling for them." https://web.archive.org/web/20230107192424/https://ashesofcreation.wiki/Hunting_certificates

also suggest 'open loot' model based on damage threshold, re: loot tagging on same page

couldn't access: https://ashesofcreation.wiki/PvP_background does it only contain this section? "While Ashes of Creation took inspiration from Lineage II (and other games) it has also"

around https://youtu.be/9WpG270yUMk?t=400 'affinity score' for encountering friends, compare to intention with layers in WoW Classic, specifically how players are apparently on a layer at the account level, not a character level, so a player who wants to log into a character in a dangerous location, like 'next to enemy guards after using website unstuck feature near Arathi Highlands', can get their alt invited to the party that is helping them on a particular layer.

Ends up failing because after leaving a layer, any association with it is broken, and players randomly change layers from joining new groups etc., so long-term potential to be on the same layer as "players encountered in the world" is completely random. And players naturally accumulate to same layer from process of random invites.

*Ashes of Creation is closing I guess: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=miMemOWBNpw

watch: folder Riot MMO, 15 Feb 2026

 

I was probably going to say more to you. Ah, yes: when Sherine said, "remember X", where X was a word which means attraction to people with criminal tendencies, which I forget. Basically, she was implying that some people thought that anyone who supported Dzhokhar Tsarnaev was stupid or mentally ill, and I think she was suggesting that this could be a reason that people might not share this idea, if they had learned of it from a group of people who supported Dzhokhar Tsarnaev ("#FreeJahar" and "#JusticeForJahar").

For example, one think I said to Sherine, apparently on Chirp Club as it's not in the comment file, was after she said the only things she cared about were money and another thing that I forget, like her friends or family. I said that taking risks can be less profitable if other people are willing to accept risk.

In the broader sense, this can be seen in finance: if no one in the world was willing to use any leverage when investing except for one person, that one person would easily become incredibly rich. But when many people are taking risks, like through the use of leverage, then it increases price volatility, which decreases the expected profit from a given amount of risk, or changes the optimal amount of leverage downwards.

In the specific sense, I was saying that people are dumb, and even though this idea would solve problems, many people are convinced that problems (like mass shootings, a risk of dying) are not important. They accept these risks, and it makes the risk of trying to fix problems less profitable.

So, while it might not be strictly accurate to say I was trying to discourage her from sharing the idea, I was pointing out information which she might not have been aware of and that could act as a reason not to share the idea due to the possibility of wasting time by doing so.

Or to put it another way, if someone had a 1% chance to win a Nobel prize with a $1 million reward by sharing the idea, and a 100% chance to get a job that pays $150k per year by instead getting a college degree, the job gives a better expected payout.

Monday, February 16, 2026

To Pokimane, pt 23

I'd been thinking of making a post earlier today, and maybe only stopped myself by procrastinating until the feeling passed. I thought about how after Mei's cat was killed by a dog, I didn't really say much except to maybe ask about animal control — I had no idea what is the proper reaction to a dog that is attacking people, possibly in a rural area, or what should be done if one's pet cat suffers a violent death — and a bit after that, she suggested she might start playing a game.

Like, obviously I thought it was very serious that her cat was dead, especially since it was probably the cat that was named after me, but despite sort of knowing me for seven years with long gaps of not talking, she didn't initially realize that I cared that this had happened. She thought that what she should do was something that made her happy and which conveyed to me that she was happy, even if her cat was dead and brought in to lie on the floor or something.

So it's nice to be able to have dinner (on Valentine's Day) with someone I guess (again, I have never done so), but it seemed unlikely you were in a relationship with your date, and so you might feel sad afterwards.

I'm just reacting to your TikTok video, which is set in a restaurant, and so my mind makes random associations to things that are related to restaurants.

A short video:


The top comment says, "the off time screaming is perfect". It really makes it feel more authentic, like it was done in one take. A great idea for a video, without spending too much effort on it. Like, another video that features the same creator has her saying, "hey! Stop scrolling. Do your homework!"

Which honestly has a crazy amount of comments: 31k comments with 2.8m views, while the restaurant video has 5.6k comments with 60m views.

Tangent, restaurant video was at 1.2m likes, 27.5m views on 2025-06-09 (view source, search for "views"). It more than doubled in views, but only got 25% 33% more likes. But comments did go up significantly. So is it a genuine audience that comments more than they give likes, compared to the core audience, or is it bot/AI comments becoming more common in the past year?

And just the fact that it's getting more views, after more than a year. (It's a bit sad that YouTube no longer lets creators make video statistics, like views over time and viewer demographics, public; if it did, I wouldn't need to have the habit of bookmarking videos with their current view count.) It seems like Douyin videos drop off completely in views, and here I am once again gratuitously providing examples:

(Did I link this recently lol?) [1572k likes, 1863k subs, 05 Feb 2026][Spectre]#transition 年度最认真!@抖音小助手 - 抖音 Video is over seven years old, she gained 32k followers in 10 days, but the video is still only at 1571.9k likes.

[356K likes, 312K subs, 23 Oct 2025][killer whale]不是 哥们你投胎成虎鲸之前 是不是没喝孟婆汤#虎鲸 #上海海昌海洋公园 #显眼包都来海洋公园了 #全上海的显眼包都来了 #上海海昌海洋公园万秀节 - 抖音 —went up a lot more than I expected, is from 2025-09-27, now 503k likes.

[6014K likes, 28 Sep 2025]于是自由在我背后升起 #rockyourbody #旱地拔葱 #抖音潮流舞蹈大赛 #生命力#UK摇 - 抖音 —from 2025-07-21, now 6052k likes.

[488K likes, 23 Oct 2025]小手办木骨也太可爱了吧 #与小乔春游赤壁 #国风小聚#花絮 #木骨 - 抖音 —from 2024-04-17, now 489.4k likes.

[1.1M likes, 88K followers, 11 Oct 2024]在夜市吃地瓜球#街边 #好吃的 #日常碎片🧩 #甜妹 #男高 - 抖音 —from 2024-07-20, now 1207k likes, 122k subs.

[2.54M likes, 11 Oct 2024]#uchida1 - 抖音 —from 2024-09-16, now 2836k likes.

[1224K likes, 1256K likes total, 43.7K subs, 29 Aug 2025]本来就记不住动作。#卡点舞 #反差 #妈妈的小棉袄 - 抖音 —from 2025-08-25, now 2260k likes, 2320k total likes, 81k subs.

[2142K likes, 01 Sep 2025]好快啊 一个月已经变成了九斤多的胖宝宝 @小鱼丸(变冷白皮版 #萌宝宝 #骗你生女儿 #这是我的小baby啊#韩姬儿美瞳 #韩姬儿棉花娃娃黑 - 抖音 —from 2025-07-06, now 2196k likes.

[1861K likes, 31 Aug 2025]好羡慕她俩的感情,犯错了爸爸本想教育一下,妹妹护着姐姐,姐姐心疼妹妹,姐妹俩一条心!#双胞胎 #骗你生女儿 - 抖音 —from 2025-08-16, now 2174k likes.

[1861K likes, 01 Sep 2025]钵钵鸡~#骗你生女儿 #萌娃 #人类幼崽 #万物皆可钵钵鸡 #被你萌化了 - 抖音  —from 2023-12-28, now 1860.4k likes.

[1378K likes, 01 Sep 2025]又是父女情深的一天呀~ #人类幼崽 #骗你生女儿 #爸爸带娃 #父女日常 #爸爸的小棉袄 - 抖音 —from 2025-01-08, still 1378.0k likes.

[923K likes, 01 Sep 2025]谁能拒绝一个刚睡醒就笑着扑向妈妈的女儿呀!#大眼萌娃 #骗你生女儿 #小煤气罐罐宝宝 #人类幼崽 #治愈系笑容 - 抖音 —from 2023-07-22, now 926k likes.

[3804K likes, 01 Sep 2025]能坚持做一件事就很了不起#悬空俯卧撑挑战 - 抖音 —account maybe has videos hidden or requires login, by 王奶奶的孙女 @50388369427:


None of these videos are about restaurants and the only point I was making was that YouTube's algorithm might promote certain older videos more than Douyin or TikTok does. I can't even say that this fact is 'interesting'.

The second thing about restaurants is a scene from the Chinese (Taiwanese) short TV series Futmalls (預支未來, 2020). It's just an 'influencer' doing a mukbang, with her camera set up in front of her at a restaurant.

I can't really say exactly why I mention it. I never really go anywhere, and it's possible I've never seen anyone filming themselves in 'real life', like to stream or make a video, so whether or not it's common now, this fictional portrayal of it might have been the first time I really saw how it looks, to an outsider who comes across it (not an audience member who sees the camera viewpoint). Sort of like how the film The Post-Truth World (罪後真相, 2022) — "intriguing, if somewhat narratively flawed", or "a sharp critique of today’s sensationalist media" — has a scene where a security guard is shown to enjoy watching a female anchor show (example), and then after he is lured away from his post and murdered, there is a brief shot of the show continuing on his computer's screen, unaffected by his death.

In Futmalls, the 'influencer' is negatively affected by events (I forget the details), with her audience unaware and unable to help her. In The Post-Truth World, it's a viewer who suffers harm, without anyone else knowing. But they both could be said to encourage people not to care too much about online interactions.

Saturday, February 14, 2026

To Pokimane, pt 22

 (Cue search for lyrics translation that isn't wrong)

https://megchan.com/lyrics/index.php?title=X_JAPAN/Rusty_Nail

https://www.letras.com/x-japan/81564/english.html

https://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/素顔

(sugao)

1. unadorned face; a face without makeup

2. (by extension) the true self, without embellishment

And of course I'm going to link the WoW PvP video where I heard this song, Orangemarmalade's first PvP video that he deleted because someone said they had suffered emotional damage from being mind controlled and drowned.

Before I looked up that word, I heard it as "sunao" which means "honest" and it's possible I'm biased towards forcing that incorrect meaning of the lyrics.

Compare Lamb. by GARNiDELiA, lyrics:

“I want to see you”, the true nature hidden behind these words
Did you think I won’t notice it?
The mark of a ring on your left hand
There’s no lie sufficient to cover that

If you’re just lonely, any other girl will do, right?
I’m sick of meeting men like you
Some people are honest (see what I meant about forcing misheard lyrics). Some people are less honest. Often, people are rewarded for not being honest, even if they are openly not honest, like doing it on a livestream, or publishing a video that shows exactly what they did. People often see it as a game, or a prank, and that being able to lie well is good, at least if it's not about things that are important or that are known to be false. For example, "I am someone you will find attractive": this is something that many people try to convey with their words and actions, without knowing whether it's true.

My belief is that I have always been honest. I would like for other people to be happy, and I think I don't try to hide that.

Anyway, your TikTok video. A Valentine's dinner. Aka, I look crazy again by talking about this. I have never been on a date. After I ran out of money for the second time, in 2012, I called and met my oldest sister, who lived in the same city (even though I hadn't talked to her like seven years). She took me to a nearby restaurant for breakfast, and I asked if it would be considered a date, and she confirmed that it was not. Literally the only time I have gone with someone to get food, if you disregard the fact that in the military, going anywhere alone was not allowed so any visit to the cafeteria (dining facility) was with another person.

Point: I often have a negative opinion of characters in Korean dramas when they go to an expensive restaurant. Like, how China has apparently banned storylines about "ordinary female meets rich, powerful male", and 'influencers' are not allowed to flaunt their wealth on social media. You probably have more money than whomever you went to dinner with, who I assume was male, but who has more money is not the point. I've probably mentioned the Japanese drama Hana Yori Dango to you before; in the movie, which takes place after all the events of the TV seasons, like the female lead going to the US to find her boyfriend because he isn't responding to phone calls or text messages, the female lead worries that they are incompatible because they have different values. The male lead is fine with just abandoning a car because their journey is taking them somewhere else, and acts like he expects a night of them alone in a hotel room together to escalate into certain activities, while she is concerned about recovering the expensive object they are chasing.

In viral clips, you have claimed that you aren't rich. But do you really have the attitudes of someone who isn't rich? I don't know.

According to his bodyguard or something, Mao Zedong slept on a wooden bed. From a search to try to verify this, https://spartacus-educational.com/COLDmao.htm

(7) Chen Changfeng was Mao Zedong's orderly. He wrote an account of Mao Zedong and the Long March in 1973.

Commissar Mao's life was very simple and I soon got to know his habits. His personal possessions included only two blankets, one cotton sheet, two grey uniforms, just as we privates wore, a worn overcoat, and one grey woollen sweater. Then he had a broken umbrella, a bowl for eating and a knapsack with nine compartments for his maps, documents and books. When we were campaigning or on the march, he carried the knapsack and umbrella himself. I would carry the rest. When we came to our camp site, I would find two wooden boards, put them together and spread the blankets and sheet on them, folding up his uniforms to make a pillow. This was his bed.

I have read an account from someone who was in the USSR's gulags, where they also had wooden beds, and the author said there was only one sleeping position that would work with those beds.

But anyway, maybe you went to an inexpensive restaurant.

About clothes, and appearance: there are people who have watched a lot more TikTok videos than me, but also people who have watched a lot less than me. Hopefully I do not demonstrate ignorance. In China, on Douyin (aka Chinese TikTok, sharing the same icon and using the same pool of consecutive numbers for the video ID), females are more comfortable with being 'sexy'. Showing too much exposed skin is banned, close cases require concealment like a blur or overlay, and so basically anything that makes it through is considered to be socially acceptable. On Chirp Club it seems to be an established thing for males to call females w****s for showing any skin, while in China that does not seem to happen.

So a lot of people in China publish videos that people in the US would not feel comfortable posting, due to the harassment that they would get in the US.

There is the pattern where someone posts themselves in baggy clothes, which in countries that aren't Islamic are seen as less attractive than clothes that reveal a narrow waist, and then does a transition to clothes that are sexier. One reason these videos are popular is that it shows that many people who don't look very attractive at one moment in time, could change to look more attractive. In other words, don't discriminate based on appearance.

Examples:

[fall]软妹冰 ruanmeibing #辣妹 Costume change [douyin 6936139224080977166].mp4

利奥利利 @160825686 巴啦啦能量#变装 #甜妹 transition, attention [douyin 7468613671652969737][a +0.19s].mp4

女屌丝 @36996057071 如果幸福的人请和我一起唱情歌~#很任性dj摇#变装 Costume change, hai yu shi [douyin 7534335090341449018][sync tuning].mp4

Doesn't start with baggy clothes, just lots of transitions:

超蓝布罗莉(自律版)@bolbol520 走一个#走路变装 #ootd #卡点 transitions, walking [douyin 7524290071434251579].mp4

 

(I noticed the red sign on the wall)

To Pokimane, pt 21

I had intended to say this in a previous post, but forgot, and after I remembered I didn't edit the post to add it in. There was no reason for me not to say it before, and there is no reason not to say it now. I think the ideal outcome would be if you and Greta Thunberg shared the idea together. That way, I could watch dramas again (because you shared it), and I could check Greta's Chirp Club account again (because she shared it).

To Pokimane, pt 20

I think we're at our most honest after waking up. One of my sleeping-waking-dream thoughts was that I don't even want you to share the idea. But I said I wouldn't watch any more dramas if you didn't, and I would like to be able to do that. It's hard to want something to happen if you don't think it will happen. With relationships, this is called moving on after a breakup.

The reason for this post is just WoW. I just wrote this to myself, after waking up:

WoW: role of layers in driving micro-faction imbalance. Layer away when ratio is unfavourable, positive feedback. Even if server is balanced, it makes layers unbalanced. Even if layer is balanced overall, it makes specific locations unbalanced.

Game gives players a reason to be in a specific area, like quests. Layers allow them to be in the area without being outnumbered.

Solution has to involve taking away the easy escape. Some players will enjoy challenge, but who enjoys 10v1? Could call for help, but not justified when layering away is always possible.

Can't remember all details of previous layering solutions, but shouldn't always go to party leader's layer.

(Thoughts about the lack of low-level players raiding towns, compared to first few months of WoW in 2004.)

One thing I said on the WoW forums, sometime between 2010 and 2012, was that the biggest threat to WoW was players zooming out really far with their cameras in raids. I didn't explain why it was a threat. It made players take the game less seriously, and at the very least not taking the game seriously implies they might not care to play it anymore. A few years later, WoW limited the ability for players to zoom out so far, comparing the size of the player's character to the size on the screen of a Marine in Starcraft. Of course, players who were used to doing this complained.

I never like to say that I was wrong, or even that I might have been wrong. Looking at the WoW of today, one might question whether camera distance was really WoW's biggest threat.

There was a game cinematic that I can't find, from a game whose name I can't remember; the notable part was when it had giant, 20m+ humanoid monsters, who moved very slowly. I contrasted it with WoW, thought of how bad the (extremely tall, like 40m+ mob with Thaddius model in WotLK, who was soloed by a paladin in a WotLK beta paladin PvP video that was pretty cool but which I deleted, by someone with a name like Sabrina who might have been involved in a controversy involving TBC arenas, which opened with a PvP scene and nearly one-shotting a priest due to a bug with PWS that existed at the time) looked, both the shading and the way that the mob moved. My thought was that, even if WoW's artists don't understand that larger beings move slower, there are still people who know this and are able to create good cinematics and games.

Then I watched a trailer for a film that featured King Kong, in which he was moving very fast despite being very large, and I reflected on how there are many people who don't understand that larger = slower and it makes an unrealistic representation still profitable.

But, camera distances are tied to this. If the player's character seems tiny, and raid 20m tall bosses are 'normal', then the player will accept those bosses moving quickly, like swinging an arm across their body in 0.2 seconds. (~50 m/s, or ~100 mph, or much faster than the speed that requires a lengthy stopping distance to avoid injury in a car crash.)

And representations that only make sense if people are stupid drive away smart players. It's the health insurance death spiral all over again, except that games can be profitable when only stupid people play them; they're just not fun for other people to play, which would include the people making the games since software and art does take some intelligence.

So this is all context. I'm pasting more of what I wrote about games being fun at low levels, but in the past I pointed to camera distance as the biggest threat to WoW.

Based on another bookmark, it seems that I watched the game cinematic from the game I forgot around 03 Feb, and the following is from 03 Feb. It's not really useful to you, but I'm afraid that I might never have a reason to look at what I wrote again, in this 'online tasks2, 16 Sep 2022.txt' document that is now 355 KB:

Poll: Is there a widely-known method that developing countries can use to prevent wealth from accumulating to a small number of people, without heavy taxes on capitalists or making capitalism illegal?

show relatives: don't fall for Alpha Male

WoW discussion topic: What would Classic Plus be like if it committed to a design where questing greens at lvl 63 were the same quality as lvl 58 blues, just like lvl 53 greens are the same as lvl 48 blues?


observation: almost all popular videos, especially PvP videos, in original WoW were at the level cap. Maybe didn't need to be lvl 60 to have fun, but needed to be lvl 60 to impress others, which for many people is part of having fun.

And at the level cap, most PvP videos were from people in good gear.

(sub-60 PvP: Alexis priest PvP, not the best gear: Vurtne)

Several reasons. Videos from a single player are usually to showcase the player's skill. For many people, skill is whether fights are won. Winning is easier with better gear, or when opponents have bad gear or are unskilled. Low-level players are more likely both to have bad gear and to be unskilled, and hard for viewers to know whether this is the case. PvP videos at low levels also risk encouraging bad behavior: bullying weaker players, fighting players who have zero interest in PvP and just want to level (including players with lots of spirit gear), and sending money and items from a high-level 'main' to a low-level player which makes good BoE items less accessible for other players.

So it's a bit circular: many low-level players don't want to PvP because they know that other low-level players don't want to PvP.

With max-level PvP, gear is easier to recognize on both the player who makes a video and their opponents. The fact of an opponent being an appropriate level to present a challenge is also evident from the location of fights. Tier sets in Classic are iconic, and a shorthand for player power. With low-level items, too many to recognize, as well as items that look the same. Also harder to know the appropriate level of players in a leveling zone; a zone like Ashenvale looks the same in many places, but quests in an area differ by 10+ levels. Lvl 21 player fighting lvl 21 is totally different from lvl 21 vs lvl 31. Level difference is in addition to gear difference: a player in Ashenvale could be a lvl 20 with whites and greens, or a lvl 33 with superb (i.e. blue, or even epic) gear.

So it seems like lack of information about difficulty of fights would be solved by a performance-based rank system.

But it's not the only potential problem. Gathering professions: easier to farm ores or herbs at a high level, both to avoid mobs (or PvP) and due to having a mount. If financial incentives to reach max level are too high, it deters activities like PvP at low levels that may be fun, but slow leveling.

And bullying: if max-level players are immune to low-level players, due to 'resists' or just raw stats from level cap power inflation, then trying to enjoy low-level PvP is asking for bullies to come and ruin the fun. So, disincentives to bully, like 'most wanted' board and aggression-based PvP flagging penalty.


What percentage of people would recognize a reference to Mandelbrot fractal or curve? (poll) (re: map being procedurally-generated, but predictably, not randomly)

Friday, February 13, 2026

To Pokimane, pt 19

#PrayForMH370

To Pokimane, pt 18

The age results here are hilarious: https://youtu.be/LA3bWH44u9k?t=205

I stopped watching Pey's stream today after her group ganked a player who was soloing an elite mob, around 2:56:00. She said she felt bad, but she didn't emote to the player to communicate that she was sorry! It's an expansion that I didn't really play; I think I reached lvl 66 on a public test realm, playing by myself (no one but me, and the person whom I know as Sam Sam, would bother to level on a server where all progress will eventually be wiped), and disliked how easy the mobs in that zone were to kill despite their size. But I know there were many players who did like the expansion.

I scarcely need to point out that if you had not said something on Chirp Club, then I would have watched more of Pey's streams even if she was streaming modern WoW, which I would enjoy even less than The Burning Crusade.

Most people would just go to the website and check the results directly, instead of pausing a video that shows results for half a second. Humans being the most popular race is not a surprise; they always were, with the WoW census website. I wonder if warriors being the popular class is because of their broken scaling, though, and people having more awareness of how warriors perform in groups as a result.

I had said that "World of Warcraft is mostly played by old people". To a certain degree, the data shows that this is true. The reason it's so funny is the dropoff above a certain age. A "Classic+" version would most likely be based on the lvl 60 game version, which differs in important ways from even the 1~60 leveling experience during the Wrath of the Lich King expansion (level cap 80). For example, many players get a 31-point talent at lvl 40 and then start putting talent points in another tree, but in TBC and WotLK, there are additional talents that require 40 or 50 talent points in the same tree.

So original WoW ended in ~2006, with TBC launching in January 2007. This survey's largest age group is 31~36 (which overlaps with 36~40, badly designed survey); someone who is 36 now was 16 in 2006.

This really seems like, "someone who saw older people playing WoW, but was not able to play themselves as much as they would like". College students were much more likely to have the freedom to play WoW (and ruin their grades; the email address I made at the time was "wowaddict", but maybe you're familiar based on your story of how you got into LoL) as much as they wanted.

So why is it that those college students, now ~42 years old, have a much smaller representation in this survey? I think it's because they enjoyed WoW and had a pretty good understanding of why it was fun, saw it become worse with TBC, and took that as a general lesson about games and life. The people who are most excited about Classic+ are those too young to have played much before TBC.

The guild Death and Taxes was pretty famous in original WoW. It got a bunch of world first raid boss kills in original WoW and early TBC, and also featured in the Alliance Most Wanted video, filmed on 21 April 2005, two days after the honor system was released on 19 April. They were responsible for a forum or website post about bugs in the Ahn'Qiraj raid instance, which was an obvious and deliberate mockery or parody of an extremely similar post by one of WoW's most important designers at the time when he was playing and raiding in Everquest. (Also Mei joined it towards the end of 2006, though I didn't know that was the server she had transferred to until much later, as she didn't tell me — she just said she wanted to be in a family-style guild, rather than a guild that treated her poorly.)

After getting several world-first kills in the early 25-man raids in TBC, a few months later Death and Taxes announced they were, basically, quitting. I'm sure the post could be found, but along with the image of a nuclear fireball in the shape of a rude hand gesture, what was notable was their references to "people coming back to try and save the guild". It showed that many people stopped playing during the six months of TBC before that post; players from original WoW, with lots of time to dedicate to the game, i.e. the college student demographic at the time, who are poorly represented in these Classic Plus survey results.

It's possible that the idea won't be used for another year, or won't ever be used, and if I don't try to influence WoW Classic Plus now I won't be able to improve its direction and it will be permanently worse than it could have been. I'm fine with people giving zero importance to this outcome, though wasted time is still wasted time. I remember my ~2011 blog comment, to the (I think) NCSoft US executive who was worried that the failure of Tabula Rasa would lead to decreased funding for MMOs in the future and a decline of the genre, that people who enjoyed MMOs when they were young would grow up and get important jobs and wonder why the genre was bad, then doing something to try to fix it. "Sorry to say this to you now", was what I said. But it's true. Even if WoW might never again be fun to the players who enjoyed it the most in 2004~2006, if there is a profit motive there will always be an opportunity to make something just as good, even if it takes 10 years to get the funding and five years to make.

"Something is funny when there is a large group of people who will be wrong about it, and it doesn't matter that they're wrong." If I had guessed, I might have said that the 41~46 group would be larger than the 36~40 group. So I expect many other people might make the same mistake, and they would be wrong, and it is funny.

My friend Hime would fall in the 51~56 age group, which is only 0.7% in these survey results (which could change with more responses). Around 2008 I think (2010), she mentioned a gryphon plushie which she bought or was considering buying.

Thursday, February 12, 2026

To Pokimane, pt 17

This is definitely one of those times when I think it's crazy to think that you read these or care what I say.

I should make it clear that the viewer I was using for TikTok was delayed, with posts sometimes not showing up for several hours. I'm using a second one now, which might be delayed as well. So, I am responding to the TikTok post that introduced your neighbor. If you have posted anything else in the past few hours, I'm unaware of it.

What would it take for me to have a good opinion of someone I met? I basically don't think it's possible unless it was someone who was as smart as me, who had the same mindset (or at least what I believe to be my mindset): a willingness to solve problems. With most people, I simply have nothing to discuss because I am poor, I might die due to being poor, and I find it completely reasonable to say at this point that most people are just wasting time. This includes almost all of my siblings. My oldest brother might have an excuse due to being in prison. I honestly sort of want to give my two oldest siblings the "evil instead of stupid" pass.

I'm not talking to any of my existing friends because I am poor. It would be an insult to my existing friends for me to try to become friends with anyone else who would not have the goal of trying to solve the problem that makes me poor.

And, as I said, some random person that I meet is not likely to try to do that unless they are very smart, with the personality type of having difficulty avoiding challenges.

In the video you posted, your neighbor is cooking a fish. I don't really have an opinion on killing animals (like the male chicks that are thrown alive into grinders), but for fishing, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Collapse_of_the_Atlantic_northwest_cod_fishery on a global scale. I'm pretty sure that the world is experiencing overfishing, with fishing stocks being depleted below the level that would allow for the maximum number of fish to be eaten without reducing fish populations.

So, yes, cooking a fish does look good for social media. But if everyone ate fish, there would be no more fish. (Also, how much is the fish?)

Wednesday, February 11, 2026

To Pokimane, pt 16

Side note, why is it that Blogger is 20+ years old and owned by a company worth $3.8 trillion (enough for 336,000 M1 Abrams battle tanks which is 33 times as many as have ever been built, or 108,000 Minuteman ICBMs, each with a W87 warhead with a yield of 475,000 tons of TNT, with a combined destructive power of about half the energy of a 1.5 km asteroid, like 1862 Apollo, hitting the Earth at 15 km/s) and it still puts a non-breaking space in this form for a new post, instead of starting it out completely blank.

I guess I'm treating the number of likes on your Chirp Club account as important again, because I thought I wouldn't say anything until you did something after my previous post, and here I am saying something.

I planned to go to Japan. My friend Hime, whom I met in World of Warcraft (her real name is Anh), even suggested that we go there together, and when I said I couldn't go with her, she asked if there were any souvenirs I wanted her to buy for me. I had sent her two paintings by an Iraqi artist, including one that I had wanted to send to Mei, as well as extra Iraqi currency, which surprised Hime as she had never mentioned to me that she collected foreign currencies.

But for me, the only real reason for me to travel to Japan was language immersion, which is not a very good reason, and this is part of why I never ended up going. I have not seen anything to indicate you have the slightest interest in learning Japanese language, and I was going to say Japanese culture but then I remembered your username. But when you played Cobblemon a few weeks ago, you had forgotten basic mechanics of the Pokemon games like what determines the power of a move.

Being in one place vs being in another place: to me, it isn't that important. Maybe I am just rationalizing as I am too poor to go anywhere, but if poor people can be happy despite being poor, what's wrong with that? (Not saying that I'm happy.)

(Obviously, I am subtly implying that people who think that no one would want to work less, because everyone wants more money than they have except maybe people who give away their money, are stupid.)

Ok like so of course I remember that Sherine knows French, that she grew up in Canada just like you even though Sherine's childhood friend is Yara who is from New York so maybe Sherine lived in New York at some point, and that Sherine once posted a photo of her school textbook which was in French. And of course I remember that Mione, who made a video of her Death Knight soloing the 10-man raid Karazhan in 2008 and then went on to solo a bunch of other raid encounters that impressed people even more (like world first solo of the Lich King), is from Belgium and speaks French.

And France used to be considered the language of diplomacy, such as the 1922 Washington Naval Treaty being in French and English, with no Japanese version even though Japan was allocated more tonnage than France, or the 1901 Boxer Protocol being in Chinese and French even though France provided just 6% of the military strength for the eight-nation alliance.

I almost posted this as it is. But I remembered I was going to say some bad things about Japan. I want to reference a scene but it is from a Japanese drama, which means it would earn a copyright strike if posted on YouTube. From the original drama (2007), Ep 07: opens with the main character playing a game against the office's boss, and deliberately losing in a way that hides the fact that she deliberately lost. Then, in order to save a coworker from being fired, she challenges the boss in his kendou doujou and they fight with wooden swords in front of his young students (ages 5~10), and she once again deliberately loses.

Then I thought that the episode ended with the boss in the office late by himself, and remarking that the female main character was dangerous, but this was a false memory. The situation might have conveyed that he thought something like this, and was disturbed the events that occurred — his hand being forced, by someone who did not seem to mind if no one else realized what had happened — but he did not say anything about her.

Actual dialogue,

789
00:44:20,898 --> 00:44:22,846
[Haken Bentou Business Plan]

790
00:44:22,846 --> 00:44:24,387
Department Manager,

791
00:44:24,387 --> 00:44:29,379
I will improve this business plan and advance it to the final selection.

792
00:44:29,379 --> 00:44:30,679
Me and Satonaka.

793
00:44:30,679 --> 00:44:32,799
He's no good.

794
00:44:32,799 --> 00:44:35,610
He doesn't understand the company.

795
00:44:36,146 --> 00:44:38,603
This business plan...

796
00:44:38,603 --> 00:44:39,795
You do it.

797
00:44:44,469 --> 00:44:46,293
I understand.
I don't remember all the details of the episode after like 16 years, but basically, the section chief whom the boss disfavours is 'nice'. The one who is given more responsibility and power in this scene is a little bit more 'mean'. The overall attitude that the boss has is that a 'nice' person is not a good leader. For example, at the start of the series, the 'nice' character does not challenge the main character when she steals his seat (Ep 01 at 5:49):


Just as, for example, Japan provoked China in the 1930s by invading and fighting against it, not respecting China when it was weak. When leadership and dominance is determined, at least in part, by fighting and being 'mean' (like being dishonest to gain more business share by asserting that a full-time employee did something impressive, rather than a contractor who will soon leave the company), then it's natural for people to think that it's fine to ignore things that don't seem to be their advantage, even if they would help other people. Like a solution that might help everyone in the world by a tiny amount but would take any individual significant effort to verify.

To Pokimane, pt 15

My mum is watching The Book Thief (2013). At the start, the main character's baby brother dies on the train, and then they bury him, surrounded by snow and with only a couple other people in attendance.

It made me think of something that I remember. When I was 16 and she was 13, I met Oriana Filiaci online. She lived half a world away, i.e. across the Pacific Ocean. Shortly after (probably a day or two after I met her), her youngest brother died from sticking his finger in an electric socket.

The last time I talked to her, she suggested that we stop talking to each other, and before I agreed to this, I mentioned her younger brother dying. It was, by then, something that had happened seven years earlier. She denied that it had happened.

I hadn't thought of it for a long time before this scene in the movie, but I think it still might affect me, sort of like the suicide of your friend in high school still affects you.

But it also reminded me of when I did something similar to what Oriana's little brother did. I destroyed a key by putting it in an electrical socket. I was probably 3~6 years old. Afterwards, for a long time, I carried the key in my backpack, I think, when I went to school, as a sort of reminder. I remember that, even then, a few years after it had happened, I couldn't remember putting the key in the socket; I only knew that I had done so. I might have also put a metal fork in the electrical socket.

It was always a little bit of a mystery to me, because the key was metal, but the majority of it was gone, and the stub ended in a sort of black or melted bit. Later, like with my dad, I might have had a little bit of experience with aluminum foil being melted or burned in a hot flame, but keys are made of a different type of metal.

There were only a limited number of electrical outlets, I was pretty sure that I knew which one the key had been destroyed in, and yet there was no evidence of it (maybe). Like, if a metal melted, there would be evidence. (The bow of the key had yellow decorations, and it was one of many extra keys that did not fit any locks.) Anyway, the point was that I could have died, although having no memory of it I had no idea how dangerous it might have been, and I kept the key probably because I knew (later on) that I could have died, and so it might have been the first time when I knew that the world was 'broken' ­— that it was not safe, even for a 4-year-old whom people wanted to keep safe. I don't think my family ever knew that I had stuck a metal key in an electrical socket.

To Pokimane, pt 13+1

If I thought a lot of people would see this, I wouldn't post it, because it doesn't concern most people. But the previous posts have, in order, 0, 3, 1, 1, 2, 4, and 0 views.

Pey's broadcast that just ended: Helo happy tbc days :D TBC TBC TBC !social for links

It will automatically expire in 60 days and be deleted.

Her dog died last weekend, three or four days ago. She has no idea why her dog died, and she has eaten very little or nothing in the past few days, other than a shake and maybe an egg. I watched this stream and much of the previous stream and didn't realize she had a Christmas tree until a user asked about it in chat, a few hours into this stream.

I missed from around 5:13:00 to 5:39:00 because I tried to look up a slang term that was mentioned in chat, and ended up opening an article that used up all available memory and froze my browser for a while. So I didn't hear everything she said about her dog dying and not eating much, around 5:24:00.

What I wrote while watching, with no intention of sharing it when I wrote it:

1:27:10 comment about Instagram, banned?
death at 1:29:50
deaths at 1:35:00 used CC?
fight at 1:58:30, kill the totem? sheeped what? and 2:01:20
wipe at 2:17:00
comment Peyton at 2:20:10
grandmother name 2:21:58
tank death at 2:45:00
damage taken at 2:54:00, 2:55:00, 2:56:00, 2:57:05, exploding ghosts?
3:22:00 lack of dampen magic against elementals, what was pally aura
almost died 3:33:05
mage died 3:35:18
comment 3:37:40
death 3:39:40
Avian Warhawk charge, 3k damage?
tank death at 4:09:00, missed it
4:13:50 question Czech, death shortly after
rez warlock 4:28:50
tank death 4:33:50
4:37:30 talking about whom, top tier
4:49:30 Instagram, inaudible with music. Asking personal info to unban?
4:51:40 Twitter?
4:53:20 Pika first in chat at midnight?
5:02:30 don't get _?
5:07:50 tank death
5:09:00 inaudible
5:10:35 inaudible
5:14:00 stream frozen, reloaded to 5:16:00
5:24:30 haven't eaten in 2 days?
5:26:30 wipe? sleep in last few days?
5:29:38 "sorry"?
missed until 5:39:00


11 Feb 2026
if drinks scale with mana pool, might people just use low-level drinks? Is 'intellect slightly decreases cost of spells' a good mechanic? Or a stat that does this, instead of giving more mana? Too much synergy with spirit to be a dedicated stat?

vampiric touch, gain mana equal to 5% of damage, assumes health scales with mana.

arcane intellect seeming useless in groups, not commenting when it falls off

point: when drinks are expensive, it makes sense to drink only when it would use entire drink. If this is every five pulls, then mana stat only really matters 1/5 of the time

point, 'multiple difficulties for content' started in TBC. Easy mode Lich King etc.

a 'reduce mana cost of spells' stat competes or overlaps with spellpower, spirit, and extra mana.

She also made a comment about not really wanting to be reminded that she's single, on Valentine's day. I don't blame you for Pey's dog dying. But it doesn't seem like there's much to counteract the sadness of her dog dying. Over 100 people in chat wished her a happy birthday yesterday, and yet today she still said that she hadn't eaten in a few days.

I thought that saying this, that I feel that people using the idea could have been something that would have made her a little happier, even if her dog still died, was better than saying nothing and possibly implying through my actions, or my silence, that I felt this way. I had intended to look up all the moments that I noted as soon as the stream finished (my computer is too slow to have reviewed those moments in the VOD while also watching the stream), but instead I will wait an arbitrary length of time, since none of the information I would learn is critical. I'll just say two weeks.

I'm trying to find an article and while this isn't it, I'll still link it because I think the author wrote a fair and informative article:

(~05 Dec 2025) https://poprant.indiatimes.com/trending/dating-isnt-worth-it-anymore-pokimane-announces-celibacy-to-dodge-bad-attachments-triggers-controversy-and-a-storm-of-harsh-reactions/articleshow/126595422.html

though I will say that while I was skimming it briefly, my computer froze and it took about 40 seconds after I pressed Ctrl-W before the page finally closed, due to HD swap activity.

Well, apparently I did not bookmark the article, which was on dexerto.com, and not bothering to find it. It quoted probably from a live stream where you mentioned that you had tried lots of things to find a relationship, including hanging out at the grocery store. A little funny and probably a reference to stories where an unexpected encounter takes place at such a location. (For example, in the 'Falling Into Your Smile' Chinese drama that I mentioned I had watched the first episode of, one character first sees another character at the store, although they do not talk.)

After clicking on this because it explained a slang term,

https://afterschool.substack.com/p/mini-mullets-and-and-frame-mogging

I tried to read the article it linked to, (10 Feb 2026) A Stanford Experiment to Pair 5,000 Singles Has Taken Over Campus - WSJ

which was paywalled, but something that sometimes worked in the past was searching for the article, and clicking on the link. (Or if the URL referral was from Chirp Club.) That didn't work at first when I tried it (only when I re-opened the tab after closing it, only expecting to be able to read the first paragraph), but the search also turned up https://incels.is/threads/bluepilled-stemcels-think-an-app-can-solve-inceldom.840729/ which is another perspective on the topic.

That linked to the student-run newspaper, https://stanforddaily.com/2026/01/12/date-drop-returns-following-cease-and-desist/.

I think it's a lot more informative. The title is not as attractive: the WSJ article is not just "X happened", but "X happened and everyone cares about it". But even though the WSJ article is from yesterday, it seems to be disproven by the Stanford Daily article, which is closer to the drama.

“The first few weeks were great since everyone wanted to try it out, but now the only people to be matched with are the weirdos still doing it on Week 11,” he said.

A few days ago I compared something that I don't even remember to the 'death spirals' in insurance groups, and this seems like it might be similar. The posters in the 'incels' forum speculate on bad motives by the service's creator, but if this kind of 'death spiral' is the explanation for the decline in use, then it might just be an emergent effect, which the creator simply did not predict but which other people can learn from. Like, there is https://www.keeper.ai/ which had the calculator you used, and I got several ads for https://tawkify.com/requestcall-v. Date Drop is unusual in that it leads to dates, not just matches, but also because it operates in communities where awareness of the service is high enough for people to discuss it and influence each other's opinions of it.

Maybe 'undesirable' people, the 'weirdos' are the ones using dating services A, B, and C. But people considering using these services are not aware of it, because they don't know whether people they know are using them or not, in order to gauge whether this might be true. But if the reason for this bias in usage for Date Drop is understood, it could help form predictions for how other dating sites or apps are used.

Basically, I read up to that point in the article and thought it might be relevant, and am not trying to form a better understanding or read the rest of the article before I post this.

In the past, Pey's VODs were viewable for subscribers only, so I would not have been able to look these moments up. I learned this was no longer the case yesterday, when I missed something that was said or happened and was able to watch the VOD.

Tuesday, February 10, 2026

To Pokimane, pt 13

I'm only talking to you, but I just want to say that by the time I finish writing this (currently 09 Feb, 23:45), it will be Pey's birthday (in my time zone).

I thought that Pey's birthday, as 'something happening that marks the passage of time', would make me stop writing things to you. It turns out I'm like the person in the study about electrical shocks, who gave themselves an absurdly large number of electrical shocks for no apparent reason, rather than sit and wait for time to pass.

Some hotels skip floor 13 and I was wondering whether to avoid 13 in the title of this post. In real life I have encountered this only once: the channels, maybe related, that uploaded videos of the dance group 屏東潮州六姐妹, including a performance of Paparazzi by Kan Mi Youn and a performance of 逼逼逼 嗶嗶嗶 by 謝金燕 Jeannie Hsieh. (Both videos should be stretched wider to sample aspect ratio 32/27, but obvs not possible with YouTube player.)

These channels skipped the numbers 4 and 14 in titles, instead using 3+1 and 13+1. This is because 'death' and 'four' sound similar in Chinese, as well as in Japanese (which lacks tone to distinguish the words, so they're not just similar, but identical). So I was thinking of doing the same, like "12+1".

I thought what I would do with this post was "make myself seem old", by talking about an old game which mostly has old players. Maybe you haven't read any of these posts, and I'll just be wasting time creating words that don't matter. Or maybe you have read them, and by posting this, I might induce you to post something on Chirp Club that isn't about the idea, which by my self-imposed rule would allow me to talk to other people online and like I might be less bored or something then.

Starting with the clip at 2:13 in this video:


(Embedded video player might be way too small)

Summary of clip: a mage dies and loses probably over 100 hours of progress.

I thought at first that the mage had abnormally low health. But it's around 1470 health, at lvl 45. I think when I deleted my first (non-open beta) WoW character, 21 years ago, I had about the same amount of health, 1300~1500, at lvl 50. It was something to which I paid enough attention to possibly remember now because my low health was getting me killed by rogues who could open from stealth with a high-damage Ambush that could easily do half of my total health. My health was low (other characters could have 3k health at the same level) because I had prioritized spirit, as the best stat for solo PvE.

So I can't say that this mage who died geared in a way that made his death more likely. My first thought had been, "if your health pool is low, you need to take special care not to take damage." It was just poor play as a mage — not unlike your second death in hardcore WoW, except that it is a mystery how someone could still be making these mistakes at lvl 45.

How verbose to be? No frost armor (just like you). Standing in melee range while getting hit by mobs, just like you. I actually had to check for any evidence that they might actually be a warlock, due to complete lack of any mage defensive abilities.

Maybe it was a challenge: "don't use any of these abilities". No Frost Nova, Blink, or Polymorph. None of these are visible on action bars. (Ok, the character's name is Fireonly.) But in that case, it just makes sense to kill mobs before they get to you. The Fireballs that he gets off do ~20% of the mob's health, from maximum range should be able to get off about three fireballs before mob gets to melee range.

The Ignite tick for 229 means that some abilities did ~1145 crit damage, which must have been two spells. Basically, he was in "this is fine" mode; he might have had more urgency about losing the second mob without those crits. He says at 2:40 "We're dead, I threw", because without the add(itional mob) that he aggroed through lack of situational awareness he would have survived.

I have been thinking that what players in Hardcore WoW need is an addon that panics whenever the player gets below 50% health, and tracks the number of times this has happened. Then you treat it like you died; i.e., you try to avoid it at all costs (other than potions), and if it happens you take the time to understand exactly how it happened and how to prevent it in the future. For streamers, this 'external enforcement', with like the screen flashing red and alarms going off, would be a better justification for the streamer reacting to this event than doing it without the addon.

Because this player used, instead, "did I survive" as his measurement of success, with near-death experiences being just an exciting stream moment that entertains viewers, his miscalculation of risk and mistakes in play led to his death.

Note how he doesn't look behind himself from 2:13 to 2:20, and at 2:37 while bandaging he doesn't take the time to look around. At 2:23 he gets dazed though he's stationary for its duration; we don't have in-game sound, but the sound of the mob behind him shooting at him should probably have been audible.

Compare the awareness of an experienced PvP player, like in Gegon - The Last Ovski !


At 3:46, while casting Fireball, he turns the camera to look behind himself. Again at 6:56, although later in the scene he doesn't look around.

I have heard the player who was the best in AoE2 for a long time say that streaming always decreases performance. Checking chat, instead of checking for danger in the game, or just having the awareness that there is an audience. But it's natural that there are times when one just does not have time to read chat. With his restriction of using only fire spells, this streamer should have acted like it was one of those times as soon as a second mob was aggroed, before the clip started.

Tbh it became harder to critique once I finally noticed his character's name, but there's always something to criticize.

I first started watching this compilation on 01 Feb, and had to stop after the second clip, which seems to feature the Thrash ability stacking to give extra attacks at 0:52.

WoW Classic: should dumb mechanics, including unintended ones (bugs), be changed?
Yes
Only if the overall effect is to make the game harder
Only if the overall game difficulty stays about the same
Only if the overall effect is to make the game easier
No

(thrash stacking up on mobs)

It's hard to get people to agree that specific changes to Classic would be good; or rather, I only bother to suggest things if there isn't already a strong consensus that those changes are needed.

If I think of solutions, including ways of changing a conversation to support those solutions, but can't talk about them, it just makes me frustrated, so that's why I stopped watching this video at the time.

The third streamer, at 0:58 (names are in video description): it's possible she had never seen seen elite mobs before. "I think I should kill one at a time actually" — many classes, with a typical player's ability, can't even kill a single elite mob. So it suggests she did not put importance on the gold dragon border, which would have made her pay attention to the damage dealt by her Wrath spell as a percentage of the mob's health. Then she didn't know how to avoid getting dazed, didn't consider the use of a healing potion to be serious enough (the whole, 'alarm bells going off if below 50% health' addon thing) and didn't think to use Entangling Roots; and it just goes to show I never played a druid that I didn't immediately think of Travel Form, though she was too low-level to have gotten it yet. I guess she also didn't complete the cast of War Stomp and didn't realize it. And Swiftness Potion instead of healing also might have saved her.

Her mouse movements show where her attention was focused: she was looking for a solution in her action bars, so basically she was focused on finding the ability she wanted to use (Rejuvenation) instead of thinking about what she might do. OODA loop, with "act" taking up much more time than it should have, leaving less time for the other steps. Nature's Grasp is also visible on her bars and honestly, having never played a druid myself, it always sounded like a nice ability and something that should be frequently used. She didn't think to use it in this situation, which suggests she might never have used it after talenting into it.

Just like you never used Polymorph after getting it and might never have used Frost Nova, other than maybe like once, either. *Correction, you did use Frost Nova in the fight where you died.

___

Update 10 Feb 2026, 04:37

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proserpina

Proserpina was imported from southern Italy as part of an official religious strategy, towards the end of the Second Punic War, when antagonism between Rome's lower and upper social classes, crop failures and intermittent famine were thought to be signs of divine wrath, provoked by Roman impiety.

Logical motivation? I thought,

Possibility 1: crop failures and famine do not have a divine explanation. Maybe they will continue, and society will collapse. Better start stealing now.

Possibility 2: they have a divine explanation. Humans acting better can fix these problems, even if the weather may seem on first glance to be outside of human control. Law and order will be preserved.

It sometimes seems that religion is about getting people to believe in consequences for good or bad actions, that matter even after death — "The undiscovere'd country, from whose bourn no traveller returns." In this explanation, religion and belief in the gods instead affects confidence in worldly consequences and the enforcement of order by humans.

Monday, February 9, 2026

To Pokimane, pt 12

Video from four years ago, Pokimane gets emotional watching hater clip from 2018

via https://www.youtube.com/@PokimaneToo/posts

Since it's old, there's no reason to think you would want me to watch it or comment about it. But I am. "In a natural environment, there are more ways to fail."

5:39 "Can you imagine I listened to this person and just quit and went back to school here?"

When the speaker said at 3:02, "Remember that winner that was up here saying  that she was in college to be an engineer but dropped out to play video games? Don't do that. She thinks it worked out for her but in six months, she will be trying to get back into that school."

That "don't do that", the recommendation to act a specific way, was not directed at you, but at everyone in the audience who had the option of doing what you did.

You said your channel grew the most from Fortnite. From SullyGnome, Fortnite streamers on Twitch average 8 viewers. Even when a streamer is successful, there are many cases where someone's views drop off by a lot, especially if they switch streaming platforms. One of my favorite streamers at the moment is the AoE2 streamer Hoang, who according to the comments on his videos is an engineer, meaning that streaming is not his primary income. His YouTube channel actually got hacked a few years ago and for months or years, he was not uploading anything and maybe not even playing games at all. The four videos he uploaded in the last 24 hours have less than 1000 views in total, which might be worth a couple USD in ad revenue.

My youngest sister is actually around the same age as you. In 2012, she had stopped going to high school. My oldest sister suggested to me that I call our youngest sister, thinking that I could be a good influence on her due to being male. So I did, and basically suggested to my youngest sister that she look into whether it was possible to take a test so she legally would not be forced to attend high school, and that she should start going to college as soon as possible, because people with a college education get paid more.

This was while I was living outside with no plans to go to college myself.

Acknowledgement that many 'successful' people dropped out of college to pursue their dreams, including founders of some of the largest companies in the world. But overall, it is no surprise to anyone that the average person with a college degree makes significantly more money than the average person without a degree.

A few years later, once I had moved back to live with my family (I still had no income), one of the songs that my youngest sister would play loud enough that I could hear it from my room — such as when she was taking a shower, with the door open so other people could use the bathroom — was Rockabye (feat. Sean Paul & Anne-Marie), by Clean Bandit. Lyrics, "She tells him your life, ain't [going to] be nothing like my life, you're [going to] go and have a good life, I'm [going to] do what I got to do".

The door of my youngest sister's room had a broken frame, which I assumed was from the police breaking in. It seems she either did not take my advice about getting a GED or whatever or it was not legally possible, because my sister was forced to go to a juvenile detention center due to not attending high school. (Another song she would listen to was Dollhouse by Melanie Martinez: "Everyone thinks we're perfect. Please don't let them look through the curtains.")

The point is that getting a college degree, as she did, was financially the most sensible choice for my youngest sister. (She is sad right now as she is not sure when or if she will have children, and she knew when going to college that it would have been harder if she had a baby.)

I don't know how streamer awards are determined or how often they go to someone who later stops streaming, but what the speaker in this video said was not directed at you and not intended to harm you, but to help other people.

Also, "Oh you think I'm not going to know how to play the next game? Watch me!"

Pokimane dies in WoW Hardcore (again)

Edit 10 Feb 2026, 03:06: fixed link to video, was to a cropped version.

Sunday, February 8, 2026

To Pokimane, pt 11

I have not bothered to look up PCOS, which you mentioned in your recent TikTok video. Maybe you won't be able to have children.

Gangnam Style.

So, this is significant because in the clip that was probably from last summer, you selected for males who wanted children. If you can't have children, then you are interested in males who would not be interested in being in a relationship with you.

The most recent book that I read, Death at the Crossroads (which I illegally downloaded, and which I first read when it came out ~28 years ago). The author says at the start,

It occurred to me that in fiction about ancient Japan, the people who lived in that farmhouse were often just stage props to some greater pageantry, such as the fight to become the Shogun. Yet they also had stories to tell, and I decided to tell at least some of them through the vehicle of a mystery trilogy.

 Excerpt, page 18:

Jiro was not handsome, and his family’s plot of land was far from the biggest, so it was astounding that Yuko’s mother had let it be known that her daughter was available. Yuko was one of the prettiest girls in the small village, although at age fifteen she was a bit past the average age when girls got married. The natural assumption was that Yuko’s mother was waiting for an exceptional match for her daughter, perhaps even hoping that the pretty girl would catch the eye of a lord or samurai so she could become a rich man’s concubine.

The other village women considered Yuko far too clever and far too pretty for Jiro, and said so. But Yuko’s mother had seen kindness and a good heart and a hard worker in the young man, and she knew it would be a match where Yuko would not be abused and, most likely, would be in charge. She wanted that, because of all of her eight children, Yuko was the favorite.

Jiro was presented with the proposition of Yuko as a wife by a small delegation of village women showing up at his hut one morning before he went to his rice paddy to work. The bewildered teen, still smarting from the death of his parents, simply accepted the collective wisdom of the elder women of the village and nodded his agreement. Within a few days, there was a small wedding feast, where the people of the village were fed sake, tofu, and some fish. Yuko served the feast and made sure each of the guests went home with a bit of food wrapped in a broad leaf. After cleaning up, Yuko moved into Jiro’s hut, and they were tentatively considered married, pending the birth of their first child.

I scarcely need to point out that even now, many religions say that 'adult activity' before getting married is bad, and yet most people in developed countries have such experience before they get married. So for most people, there is no need for a 'trial period' in a marriage, and weddings are deliberately conducted in a way that gives them significance and makes cancelling the marriage difficult.

Back in June 2012, I linked the song 嘘とダイヤモンド that I once again referenced in my previous post. I also linked the song, 正義粉砕. These songs both imply a degree of dishonesty, but in the first one the singer is a little bit 'selfish', while in the second the singer is 'good', so they sort of complement each other, I think. Anyway, in the second song (noting that many published translations of Japanese lyrics are inaccurate), the line (at 1:26),

この目は、世界を見過ぎて

僅かな希望も捉えられなくなった

These eyes have seen too much of the world

Even a tiny bit of hope no longer remains (literally: became unable to grasp even a tiny bit of hope)

So, there are a lot of people who literally don't think there's anything wrong with them just focusing all of their attention on what will make them happy in the future, like finding a spouse.

I think I referenced the US Declaration of Independence before, which includes,

We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.

If they were really self-evident, there would have been no need to mention them. What makes one person happy may cause harm to other people. There are some people who simply do not realize this. I was going to mention at some point, although I forget exactly what it was in relation to, that games show that many people are simply bad. That the large variation between students in test scores in school is not just from differences in motivation. Test scores often depend on studying, but two people who start a new game, spend the same amount of time playing it, and have the same goal of not dying, will vary in their ability to meet that goal.

In life, one goal that many people (but certainly not all people) have is 'to be seen as ethical, even when the specific behavior that is ethical may be hard to discern, and only a minority of people might correctly judge what it is or reward people who have that behavior'.

And so it is that there are people who might want to have children, but who do not allow whether a particular person can have children to be important to whether they would be in a relationship with that person.

One might point to same-sex relationships as the ultimate proof of this.


Going back to one of my recent posts: the one about when I tried to meet Mei at the library. Did I try to trick Mei? It's certainly true that there was information which I did not make clear. I said in an email that I would be turning off my Internet (I gave the cable modem and maybe one or two wireless routers to the Korean student who had relied on it, who got a little upset at me since it meant she had to go to the school library for Internet), which implied I was leaving my residence, but I was deliberately ambiguous and Mei's later words showed she did not understand I had already permanently left where I had been living.

But did I "trick Mei into not agreeing to meet me, in order to benefit Kate"? One thing I said to Mei, regarding her not wanting to meet, was that she just didn't want me to die. I really felt it was possible that if we met, it would lead to me dying. Mei facilitated me implying this with like her references to Drow (a female-dominated society, in which males are weak, and the deity is a spider). I'm pretty sure her display name, Lillium, was a reference to Elfen Lied (which I never saw), and not to Lilium, "a taxonomic genus within the family Liliaceae – true lilies" which is poisonous to cats — her cat being named after me.

So, if Mei and I had met, and then I had died, I think it would have helped Kate. Kate would have thought I was in a relationship, since she would not have had any expectation that I would contact her again if I was alive.

When I asked, "Am I someone who would take an action most likely to lead to someone being happy, even if I died", the person that it seemed my actions would most likely lead to being happy was therefore Kate, not Mei.

And I think this is how it is a lot of the time. Evidence, songs:

Rain Song by Girls Dead Monster,

(Translated) Running into a tree in the park,

I cried like you did.

Forgetting that you were here,

Forgetting the love that we had,

Becoming just like you were (misheard lyrics) Crying in place of you,

I don't want that.

 

Numb by Linkin Park,

And I know I may end up failing, too

But I know you were just like me

With someone disappointed in you


So anyway. Maybe it would be nice if people who wanted children did not end up with people who cannot have children. But that is not even on the list of most important problems, on which climate change apparently ranks so low that it no longer appears on the list.

(The letters) W, T, F. (And also, that video with 8.7m views doesn't appear in search, only some copies with 12k, 32k, and 235 views.)

It's Peyton Chorvat's birthday in two days. I would think that she streams every day, except that my Gmail tab which accumulates Twitch live notifications from her only has 35 new messages and the number does not seem to have been going up. Maybe five years ago, she posted on Chirp Club that she was seeing a doctor for her endometriosis, which just like PCOS can be a cause of infertility. I should note that I don't know if Peyton likes me. If she's streaming, it's probably retail aka mainline WoW, which I think I will find painful to watch.

 

@TEAM_OK 지수 - 꽃 | 남의 팔💪[Someone else's arm - 이소정 sojung, igo gattan da] [SJu9tGkRS-0].webm

___

Update 09 Feb 2026, 03:12

From your TikTok video, "There's such a pressure on women. I feel like we're constantly told and conditioned to think that our greatest value is bringing life into this world."

This is what I had wanted to mention some people being bad at games, and specifically bad at PvP, in relation to. If you say, "a lot of females don't like fighting in general, as much as males do", this supports the point. Females are less often the target of physical violence in general, but are just as likely to encounter social conflict in the form of words of criticism. An attitude that fighting (including with words) should be avoided is likely to lead to less time spent fighting, which means lower proficiency at it, and more often losing fights or never trying to fight in the first place. I don't necessarily agree with the message of this video or how people in the comments interpret it, but people think it was a good video: Learned Helplessness

Point: only females can do X.

(Ok, haha, X chromosomes.) Is there a Y that only males can do? Probably not, for any Y that people admit to be important. Females tend to be physically weaker, but this doesn't really matter in the modern world. The rigorous physical fitness standards used in military special forces around the world are not really important for winning wars. I don't think I ever watched the entire movie, and it draws people towards incorrect conclusions (the whole, "the US public likes fights in the Middle East because it's open deserts with nowhere to hide, unlike the jungles of Vietnam where a technological advantage didn't mean as much"), but the film Jarhead: "At the last second before Swofford takes the shot, Major Lincoln interrupts them to call in an air strike. . . . The war ends without Swofford ever firing his rifle. During a monologue, Swofford realizes that all of his training and effort to achieve the elite status as a marine sniper is meaningless in modern warfare."

So, if X is important and only females can do X, how should this affect how people think of females?

Possibility: "females should focus on doing X, even if it means sometimes giving up on other goals."

Possibility: "people should think more highly of females and treat them better, because they can do something that males can't."

The scene in Terminator: Dark Fate (2019) where Sarah Connor sarcastically comments that Dani Ramos is only important because of her womb, as Sarah herself had only been targeted for termination because of her future son.

Basically, do females benefit when the fact that only females can conceive children is brought up in a conversation?

Quote from the BBC comedy Red Dwarf, which I have not attempted to verify as factual:

Lister: I don't know why I'm going through with this. It's just not possible.
Rimmer: Why is it not possible? Male baboons have given birth. They were doing that as far back as the 20th century. Caesarian, naturally.

Saturday, February 7, 2026

To Pokimane, pt 10

Poll: "If someone had a belief that was harmful to you, and you could change that belief with a single word, would you do so?"

It ends up being a bad poll. It isn't relevant for most people; it is basically only relevant to the specific belief that someone doesn't know you exist. And, even if I wasn't restricting myself from doing anything and there was a place that I could make polls that would get sufficient engagement, I would not be able to justify creating this poll, due to lacking a motive to do so. I said that I would stop expecting you or trying to get you to share this idea, and I am trying to keep that 'promise'.

I have said that I thought you weren't aware of this idea and didn't know I exist. I have never explicitly said the opposite: that I thought you were receiving and reading my emails.

On one hand, I think this is entirely defensible: it's a little crazy to think that you read the emails from me. There was a video in which you were warning people about a scam, and people in comments (YouTube or Reddit) were saying that it was unrealistic because the story required that you were reading emails sent to you yourself, instead of someone else filtering them. Almost no one wants to be seen as crazy, including me (I don't want to be seen as crazy). And so I am reluctant to admit to having thoughts that people would think are crazy.

But for this same reason, if those 'crazy' thoughts are in fact true, then you might feel some degree of criticism of me for prioritizing what other people think of me, over truth and transparency.

Of course, this is the thinking that many 'crazy' people (people whom others evaluate to be crazy) experience, including people who might be viewed as stalkers etc. It's dangerous thinking, and this is part of why people should try to be truthful, and expect others to be truthful.

The short on your podcast channel features a snippet of you saying, "it's either like ring husband or it's like, I don't know". This, and you holding up your hand while saying it, might have reminded me that wedding rings and engagement rings serve the practical purpose of letting people know someone's relationship status. I honestly might not have remembered this since before learning about your ring, several months ago.

I think I also remembered a few days ago that I had sent an email to someone, which had mentioned you, which was possibly before you chose to buy yourself a ring.

So, basically, this post is about secrets. As with the poll, if you wanted me to think that you know I exist, you could reply with a single word, or even send a blank email. But in what case might someone answer "no" to the poll? The obvious case is when, despite the belief being harmful to you, it is helpful to someone else, such as the person holding the belief.

It's difficult to see why you might think, if you do know me, that I benefit from this being a secret. But what about other people? Specifically, what about Sherine? I had said to Sherine that I would never admit that I didn't want her to share the idea.

I could have said, instead, that I wanted her to share the idea. My actual words did not convey any information about whether this was true. It's reasonable to say that this was intentional, since I am smart and tend to point out any important mistakes of mine that I notice.

I never said that I wanted her to block me, or to not reply to most of what I said. I'm actually not sure if she ever acknowledged anything I said on Chirp Club, except for the first post on my third account in which (as I had warned her) I sent a message to her crush.

Oh, at some point I was going to mention the song, 【GUMI】嘘とダイヤモンド【オリジナル曲PV付】. Lyrics:

Scared to project my unadorned figure, I apply lies.

('utsusu' being the transitive form of 'utsuru')

But did her not talking to me help me? Points:

- if there is a government conspiracy, it seems very likely to be because of Sherine's actions and the dilemma she created

- I was happy that I did not have a smartphone, because if I did, then I might have felt an obligation to try to talk to her on it using Snapchat or whatever, and she might have sent me illegal images

- if she had talked to me, then I would not have been stuck on the point of "does Sherine care about the idea and has she shared it"

- if Sherine had really tried to get people to use the idea but failed, and no one else like Yoko Ono had then shared the idea, then I would probably have stopped doing anything with it and acted like it will never be used, since Sherine's actions would have created an obligation from me towards her

- I had said to Sherine that I had no intention of dying, and people not sharing the idea has had danger for me, since I remain poor without health care, at risk of getting cancer, etc. So from a survival perspective, it seems fair to say that her not talking to me didn't benefit me


So there is no proof, but I interpret it as being like that song: that Sherine pretended that she had influence because she was afraid of the possibility that she did not. One cannot even say that if this is what she thought, then her actions were for her own or my benefit: Sherine did not immediately know it, but in one of the first of the emails I sent to the US Federal Bureau of Investigation and other people at the time, I mentioned Sherine. So there was the possibility that people did not reply to me or do anything because I had mentioned Sherine, implying that she was important, even though at that time she had not replied to me or done anything except (I think) to stop talking and posting things.

Ok, I think by then she had posted photos of herself ... well, based on the 'temp comment.txt' file that I included in an image archive in 2014, I said to her "You're pretty" on 25 May 2013, which was over a month after I first sent her a message. There was the photo or two where she had her nose close to the camera or something so it looked too big, but I'm not sure if she posted that just before I said to her "You're pretty", or a month earlier.

Later in the same song, "Lies and diamond":

What I was holding wasn't a gemstone (宝石) at all, just a pebble (石ころ).

The fact that nothing important has happened in the past 13 years doesn't mean that Sherine made the wrong choice in keeping secrets. It's easy to criticize, and say that another path should have been taken. But, as I said before, I 'protected' Sherine by implying that it could be possible that I didn't want her to immediately share the idea, since that seemed to be what she was doing, even though it might just have been that she didn't see my tweet about Lebanon in time and would have acted differently if she had.