Tuesday, September 29, 2026

To Ariana Grande-Butera

Plan was simple. Procrastinate. I should have waited three days without doing anything, from 25 Sep. I had three options:

1) Do what I said, when I said I would
2) Wait another three days
3) Wait an indeterminate amount of time

So I was going to wait until someone acted differently (option 3). @9玥、's video count has been increasing by 1 per day on both of her accounts since 26 Sep. If this pattern varies, then it could mean that she is trying to communicate something.

But of course I'm messing it up, just 30 minutes after midnight.

First, I'm throwing shade: Ariana is the 7th-most-followed Instagram account, with 362 million followers. This is more than any account on TikTok, Douyin, or Facebook, and only MrBeast has more subscribers than this on YouTube.

But her posts only get 500k to 2m likes. A Chinese actress (actor) has 22m followers, a video with 13m likes, and 3~6m likes on typical videos (F for Videos tab).

I think that on some platforms, accounts get boosted by bots. Not by intention, but just because following popular accounts helps the bots evade detection. Wikipedia has old follower counts, though this just shows all accounts going up. I don't know any well-known people who have been withdrawn from public life for a fair comparison.

I'm basically commenting on three posts: stuck in an elevator, a post with lyrics, some of which are from the song freak, and closing night memories posted by @teamariana.

What I see in these photos: people, both male and female, who are not trying to fix problems.

Most likely, most people in the world would say that they aren't trying to fix problems.

I checked the lyrics to petal to see if they were the words in the post, and this line,

'Cause this music and I will never die

made me think of the novel, Soul Music, and the real-life plane crash that the novel's plot refers to, I guess. I probably read the novel in like 1998, but I can still confidently say that the character Buddy valued being famous more than being alive.

Based off of just the lyrics in the post, I had been going to say something like, "No matter who you are, most people in the world don't care about you. You should always be trying your hardest to get what you want, without apology." But from the lyrics to petal,

'Cause all of my favorite stories
End in some kind of catastrophe

The poll about the evil supercomputer. I'll copy here it:

"An evil supercomputer with a power level that's over 9000 enforces a rule: if two people fall in love, they will be separated for 20 years. It's like a military family moving away, but all communication including texting is disallowed. This can only happen to a person once; after that, they are safe. No one has yet found a way to destroy the evil supercomputer. What would society say is moral: to wait 20 years, or to find someone else to love?"

How would you respond?

Monday, September 28, 2026

Danger of monocultures

The BBC article about Ariana's last concert described how in her words to the crowd, she talked about their outfits. Fashion.

So, let's say that females own the "don't try to fix problems" view.

But, Simpson's paradox. Also, from my notes file:

22 Sep 2026
"hotter or notter"

'nice vs mean, 15 Aug 2021.txt'

Poll: "Is it ever ok for a boyfriend to lie to his girlfriend?"
Second poll: "Is it ok for a boyfriend to lie to his girlfriend about her appearance?"

[...]

romantic experience: Simpson's paradox. Attractive people have more experience, but people with more experience are less attractive.

Always picking the chocolate milk in elementary school because it had more calories, and thinking "why would anyone pick the low-calorie option"

[...]


'nice vs mean, 15 Aug 2021.txt':

"If everyone is mean to you, it would help other people the most if you acted mean in response, to avoid rewarding meanness. But it helps you the most if you act nice"

Therefore, for someone in this situation to act nice is not a sign that they are "a nice person", but rather that they are "a selfish person"


With females as a single group: "don't try to fix problems", while males own the "do try to fix problems" view.

But, if you split society into those who are rich or who have the potential to become rich: then rich females own "do try to fix problems", while rich males own "don't try to fix problems".

Suppose that opposite views are incompatible in a romantic relationship. General solutions:
1) non-traditional relationships.
2) male and female who are both poor, or both rich: one of them 'betrays' their group by having a different attitude than other members of the group.
3) rich male and poor female: both use "don't try to fix problems", without betraying their group.
4) rich female and poor male: both use "do try to fix problems", without betraying their group.
5) disagreement about what defines rich or poor. Male and female with the same income or abilities, but they have the same attitude without thinking that they betray their group.
6) some other solution, like redefining the group to include age and saying that old people don't need to try to fix problems, or saying that there are no problems as long as everyone participates in religious activities regularly.


In order for people to use this idea, someone influential has to try to get people to use it. For females as a whole, "don't try to fix problems" is the dominant attitude. Can also be restated as, "press the button to be happy if you're poor". But for an identifiable subset of females, "do try to fix problems" is dominant.

From 19 Sep 2026, folder named 'crash'. Many of them are about problems in society or relationships. 15 videos, final one is The Person Who Is Most Likely To Remain Single (Based on Science). The creator seems intelligent, and I hope she is happy and already in a relationship. Of course, I didn't watch a single second of the video. But I skimmed the description to see if it gave an answer to the title question, and it mentioned this:

Unmarried Women: Politically Cohesive, More Concerned About Women's Status Than Married Counterparts | American Sociological Association

Concerned about problems.

Earlier today I bookmarked a lot of videos. After closing a lot of them, I was left with a few videos about problems in World of Warcraft, and a lot of videos about problems with relationships in real life (and two songs). I only mention this to say that I'm not saying anything about those videos right now.

From a novel by Charles Sheffield, like Dark as Day or Cold as Ice or something: an Indian character says, "the mark of a superior mind is the ability to hold multiple contradictory viewpoints at once". I actually found this quote and emailed it to my oldest brother, like 12 years ago.

Everyone belongs to multiple groups. "People with a certain gender." "People with a certain gender and age." "People who live in this country." Not to mention, "all humans". (The use of 'aliens' in the question about the button that lets you be happy was deliberate.) If these groups have different views and different priorities, which views should you emphasize? There is no good answer. Maybe someone could write a long list of rules about how to decide, but someone would still have to apply all of those rules.

So, maybe males tend to dominate the view, "do try to fix problems". But females are allowed to have this view.

And males who choose not to try to fix problems are not necessarily unethical, because they are also allowed to do that.

Something about the swirly black and white circle with the dot of the opposite color in each half. Neither half is fully black, or fully white.


Some problems that I am currently not trying to fix. If I wasn't making this post, these words (written today) would just sit in a text file that was started on 16 Sep 2022 (the earliest notes in it are all about MMD):

AoE2: 'invite a friend': lets two people play in games with you even if they don't own the game. Best for 'limited unit coop' mode. Or just '24 hour pass', can be extended to two people. So someone can practice on their own after playing with someone else. Can even give a '24 hour pass' to DLC to someone who owns the base game. Only two missions out of each campaign available with the pass, unless playing coop with someone who owns the DLC.

WoW: funding for database site? When visiting the site: Visual die roll. 90% chance of gaining 1-hour pass for your IP address. 10% chance of being blocked for one hour unless you buy premium. Actually replaces 'are you a bot' check that's probably for ad integrity. Premium: $3~5 per month, grants four passes that can be used by other people (like sharing Netflix subscription).

Other perspective: database sites make a game worse. But it's up to developers to limit what a database site can know.


With any post, there's the danger that someone could think that its purpose is to make me look smart or desirable. Especially when I include random things like these suggestions related to games.

The logic behind posting this is that someone could have thought, "it's better for the world if there is data about females owning the view of not trying to fix problems: that it's fine to care about fashion and celebrities, and you shouldn't feel bad if that's all you think about."

Most economists are male. And so, most of the people I tried to share this idea with in 2011 were male. I note that the first economist I tried to share it with (other than the three copies of my letter to US President Obama, which requested that whoever read it show it to an economist) was the female Nobel prize winner who is now deceased, and I got an auto-reply email from her assistant saying that this economist was on vacation. Would it have been better if a male economist had shared it, or a female economist? In any event, no economist publicly shared it. The closest was the Al Jazeera article in late 2012 from the economist Dean Baker, criticizing the economics profession as being paid to tell lies that benefit rich people, rather than actually fixing problems. (I don't have this bookmarked, and am not doing a search for it while writing this, so I might have spelled his name wrong.)

If all males cared about fixing problems, I think people would have learned of this idea in 2012, or even 2011. But some males don't.

Some kind of point about how with the 'button to be happy' question, the 'rich' could be less than 50%. Important because if there is an identifiable group, then people could excused if their bad behavior is to help their group.

Again with that question: if rich males are claiming "don't try to fix problems", is it best for the world if rich females also claim that position, which is also held by poor females, or if they claim "do try to fix problems", so all rich people do not all hold the same view?

Another thought I recently had: people sometimes say that female leaders are emotional. Point,

20 Sep 2026
[...]
group model: can add 'war or peace' game. Peace already described. With war, group with more total money takes 10% of the total money of the poorer group. Both groups must choose peace to have peace. Many groups, that start with random sizes. Players periodically have a chance to leave their group and join a random different group, but with a penalty of losing half their wealth, which is distributed to the rest of the group. If a player's wealth is negative, they keep all debt when switching groups. To prevent always defecting during peace, each player has a chance, maybe 30%, of knowing the name of the other group.

what if advertiser could pay to suppress other ads from being displayed alongside the main ad? Like buying all ad slots, but no repetition. Let user know when this happens, so they can feel gratitude toward the advertiser. With standard ad model, calling ad message 'sponsored' might technically be accurate, and the ad pays for the website, but user does not feel grateful. They just take it for granted, because many websites are free. If sometimes there are many ads and sometimes just one, then user has something to be grateful for. "Super ad"?

Poll: When using parentheses to communicate extra information, how important is it to use a closing parenthesis when it would be the final character?
(Because of Chinese people apparently thinking it isn't important
[...]

21 Sep 2026
"As long as skilled poor people think that they should be generous instead of selfish when pricing their labor, unskilled poor people will be suffering and in poverty"


With this expanded model, it's easy to see how there are two perspectives: "the group needs to have many members, so that it can expand more during peacetime, so it's important to help people who are in danger of leaving the group due to misfortune." Female view. And, "the group needs to be rich, so it can win in wars. Don't sacrifice to help the unfortunate." Male view.

Suppose a leader has a chance to help the unfortunate. If they do, it's expensive for the group. But it also makes the group look better and make people want to join it. Is a desire to help the unfortunate individual(s) "emotional" and bad?

It actually took 72 minutes to write this, even though a lot of it is copied text. I will probably end up thinking I should not have written and posted it.


"If Ariana Grande posts anything on Instagram after 06:00 GMT on 29 Sep 2026 and there's no indication that she's shared this idea or reactivated her Chirp Club account, I will stop checking Demi Rose's Chirp Club account"

___

Update 28 Sep 2026, 20:10

Second spelling error, 'make' should be 'makes'. Swirly black and white circle:


If you have watched this video and didn't understand everything in this post already, I insult you like the French character does in Monty Python and the Holy Grail.

Saturday, September 26, 2026

Is Ariana Grande sad?

A few days ago, there was an ant problem. First I thought, "they will stop going where they shouldn't, if they find food before they reach there." Then I thought to lure them outside with food.

A cool thing about ants is that they turn a lot. This is an exhaustive search pattern. The probability of covering the same ground twice is high, so it's less efficient, but it finds food closer to the origin. A food source close to the colony is more valuable than one farther away. Their social existence influences the way they move.

I am not fundamentally that different from an ant. I accidentally visited the page for a video from 饱饱兔 (uploaded [2026-06-30](https://www.douyin.com/video/7657350264705263995), before I first downloaded a video from her on 2026-07-13), and like an ant running into a wall, I end up moving in a different direction.

Since it seems unlikely I'll ever be in a relationship, it's hard for me to feel sad. But I was really sad, upset, etc. in 2007, when I had the thought that based on Mei's behavior, she might think that it didn't benefit her for me to like her.

Xiaoyu seems to have hidden or deleted all of her old videos. But if 饱饱兔 did this, I would know, because I would see that her video count decreased. (Although her video count was only at 11 a month or so ago, and is now at 30, so if it went down to 15 or so I wouldn't know which videos were affected.)

It completely makes sense for me to try to avoid interacting with the account of someone who knows about this idea but hasn't shared it. Word count is getting too high.

Demi Rose, the song 'vanished the life -notreborn', cat, etc. Mione blocking and then unblocking me.

Ariana's political question last year was phrased as a genuine question: "have you gotten the results you hoped for?" In a way, it had faulty assumptions. Maybe prices have gone up. Maybe people who prefer English to be the language spoken in the US have encountered a greater proportion of people who don't know English in the past two years. But these things can happen despite actions by the US president; for people who dislike the actual outcomes, those outcomes could have been worse with a different president.

I have to say that one of the questions on [The Ultimate Data Manipulation Survey](https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSfrkNQ0zym9LQWmBufAeTDo-zZ7ks3UEtbqdfBv2XEQ5swR0A/viewform) was,

>Do you expect the next elections in your country to have a big effect on the amount of fossil fuels used by your country over the next few years?

I would have answered no. (Also, I thought of this question when I saw that the person who almost shot President Trump had also looked up Biden's campaign rallies.) But Ariana did not ask people about climate change (in Trump's [recent speech to the UN](https://www.newsnationnow.com/business/tech/ai/ai-elections-voters-information/), he noted that 'global warming' had been rebranded to 'climate change' due to what he viewed as incorrect predictions, although the [data](https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/t2_daily/) for the past few years seems [pretty convincing](https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/sst_daily/) that there is a warming trend).

The point is not the specific issues she mentioned. But that she was open to the possibility that people had, in fact, voted in a way that gave them the things they wanted.

In the same way, whenever someone didn't share this idea, there was the possibility that they were acting in a way that was in their best interests.

The argument that I shared on Chirp Club was pretty much the worst argument for getting people to actually publicly share this idea. Also: I call it Chirp Club because that was the translation of what the Literary Chinese Wikipedia article about the platform called it. I did not make it up. The reason for not calling it X is that X is already used to denote an unknown value, such as when I say 'Person X'. In this case, the unknown value, X, stands for Chirp Club.

It said, <persons known for committing violent crimes> knew about this idea and didn't share it. Four interpretations:
1) If you share this, it will cause people to commit violent crimes.
2) If you don't share this, it will lead to you committing violent crimes.
3) Not sharing this idea (keeping it secret) is important, for an unknown reason.
4) People who don't share this idea should be viewed negatively.

I felt that Sherine should have been sharing this idea. But I couldn't meaningfully talk to her, because she had blocked me.

Maybe Sherine thought that it was in the best interests of a Person X if she blocked me. Person X could have been Mei or Kate. She could even have imagined it to be me. Now, 13 years have passed. Is it likely that Sherine's prediction of the outcome of her blocking me will come true?

Similarly, if Ariana learned about this idea ~10 years ago, what did she expect to happen if she did not share it? Did that come true, or is it likely to come true?

Asking questions is easy. Answering questions is hard. She wasn't thinking about how to immediately convince people to use this idea. She was thinking about secrets, maybe.

Who thinks at age ~23 that they have a chance to change the world? There have been such people throughout history. Alexander the Great died young.

Sometimes books or films are like, 'a sad thing happened'. Most people do not remember that and try to figure out how to stop the sad thing from happening. If there is one sad thing per two stories, someone who reads or watches 200 stories could remember 100 sad things, or they could forget all of them and just go on with their life, and then be surprised when a sad thing happens that they didn't expect.

I am not trying to make Ariana sad.

Friday, September 25, 2026

Human traffickers

"In three days I will check whether the female scientist the IS wanted to be released is still in prison, and if she is I will check Ariana's Wikipedia page to see if she's in a relationship" (25 Sep 2026 at 21:07)

When I did this search, the first result was about a male scientist, with Chinese ethnicity but residing in the US, who has been imprisoned in China for almost two years. Even though I'm supposed to be not checking the news, since last year probably, I eventually came to this article:

Meatpacking groups say ICE arrests could lead to higher prices and revenue loss

(I had to open it with Javascript off to prevent the single web page from using all my computer's memory)

Ariana's political question last year touched on the topic of immigration enforcement raids.

It's poor people pushing the button that allows them to be happy.

I tend to be on the side of enforcing laws. Even though I am not Japanese, I still have a Japanese mindset about some things. In the drama series Ikebukuro West Gate Park: episode 4, a foreigner (personal detail: my youngest sister's name is Alejandra, which got shortened to Ali, which is the same name as this character) is befriended by a main character, but the foreigner still gets deported at the end of the episode for breaking immigration laws. This happens at a party. The immigration officer carrying out the action moves slowly, but the foreigner does not run and complies with the law.

Squid Game: there is a similar character, also named Ali.

In 2015, there were articles about the poor labor conditions of the workers on Thai fishing boats. I searched my bookmarks for 'shrimp', and there are only two results, but the second one has a lot of related articles. It might be a mistake to link any of this, as too much information.

Folder 'Inequality, 02 Jan 2016' (last article is the one related to shrimp, none of these were bookmarked with a title):

https://www.washingtonpost.com/posteverything/wp/2014/12/30/google-got-it-wrong-the-open-office-trend-is-destroying-the-workplace/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2015/12/31/the-surprising-thing-ancient-mummies-tell-us-about-what-to-eat/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/what-its-like-to-house-hunt-in-silicon-valley-the-nations-priciest-market/2015/12/31/920c5b02-9dcf-11e5-bce4-708fe33e3288_story.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2015/07/14/the-rich-kids-of-instagram-are-a-product-of-extreme-inequality-and-theyre-not-afraid-to-show-it/

http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/rich-see-different-internet-than-the-poor/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2015/06/16/these-powerful-photos-of-people-living-with-debt-will-make-you-feel-not-alone/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2015/12/15/the-shocking-truth-about-shrimp-today/

Folder 'slaves, 23 Sep 2018':

Desperate Rohingya Flee Myanmar on Trail of Suffering: ‘It Is All Gone’ - The New York Times

Thai Fishing Industry Trafficking, Enslaving Rohingya | Burma Task Force

Seafood Slaves | slavery | Al Jazeera

AP Explore: Seafood from slaves | Associated Press

US lets in Thai fish caught by slaves despite law | Associated Press

Myanmar fisherman goes home after 22 years as a slave | Associated Press

AP tracks slave boats to Papua New Guinea | Associated Press

Over 300 slaves rescued from Indonesia island after AP investigation into forced labor | Associated Press

AP Investigation: Slaves may have caught the fish you bought | Associated Press

Slavery at sea: human trafficking in the fishing industry exposed | Post Magazine | South China Morning Post

Thai Fishing Industry Uses Rohingya Slaves | UN Dispatch

Sold from a jungle camp to Thailand's fishing industry: 'I saw 13 people die' | Global development | The Guardian

Shrimp sold by global supermarkets is peeled by slave labourers in Thailand | Global development | The Guardian

Revealed: how the Thai fishing industry trafficks, imprisons and enslaves | Global development | The Guardian

Cages, watchtower and 37 graves: inside an abandoned migrant camp in Malaysia | World news | The Guardian

Second-to-last has a URL that indicates it is from 20 Jul 2015.

Also, bonus article, the bookmark that follows this folder:

Were the Victorians cleverer than us? The decline in general intelligence estimated from a meta-analysis of the slowing of simple reaction time - ScienceDirect

Erawan Shrine bombing was on 17 Aug 2015, about a month after the first articles describing the workers on the Thai fishing boats as "slaves" were written. From the Wikipedia article:

The Thai government has at times suggested the bombers acted to avenge a crackdown on their human trafficking network


Should poor people be encouraged to break laws by illegally traveling to other countries to find work? This is a different question than whether they should be punished by the country they travel to for breaking immigration law.

The US isn't special in being a country that people want to illegally reside in to work. It's a problem caused by global economic inequality. So: does Ariana think that Thailand should continue to allow fishing boats to employ illegal immigrants, just as meatpacking plants in the US do? Or should people only be allowed to work if they have official permission to be in a country, such that employers cannot threaten to turn them in to the authorities if they don't accept poor working conditions?


Short version of this post:

<quote>

<link to article>

Squid Game.

Thai fishing boats, shrine bombing.


First search result for thai fishing ship: Revealed: how the Thai fishing industry trafficks, imprisons and enslaves | Thailand | The Guardian (20 Jul 2015, same article linked above)

First search result for thai fishing ships: 'Such brutality': tricked into slavery in the Thai fishing industry | Movies | The Guardian (21 Sep 2019)

First search result for thai fishing boats: Forced to fish: Slavery on Thailand's trawlers - BBC News (23 Jan 2014)

So the topic of the article that I saw in Jul 2015 and posted about on Chirp Club was not new. It was just a new round of articles, that alerted me to a topic I had not known about.

The logic is that it was relevant to the question of whether people are, by nature, good or evil. Are the people who facilitate illegal entry into Thailand by taking people through jungles, which is by definition human trafficking, helping those people or harming them? Are they good or bad? Would taking away the button that lets poor people be happy — with a 1% chance of dying — be good or bad?

If you were the ruler of Thailand, what would you do?

___

Update 26 Sep 2026, 04:54

You are a participant in a YouTube video by a certain creator. Each time you push a button, $200 is split between you and a Soulless Mega-Corporation, but you get $1 less than the last button push: $100, $99, $98, etc. Do you keep pushing all the way down to $1? Each button press takes 0.2 sec.

Clovergirle

The only songs from Ariana Grande that I'm familiar with are the ones used by dancers in Taiwan: Bang Bang and Problem. Problem has a lot of copyright issues on YouTube; many videos got muted.

There are over a thousand other songs that I'm familiar with, which I would say that I like more than any song by Ariana Grande that I'm hearing for the first time just due to the mere exposure effect. Like, I was seeing if I could find the remix of Dragostea Din Tei in a video I linked recently, and even though all the remixes I found would receive similar ratings in a fair comparison, I didn't like any of them because they weren't the one I was familiar with. Just now, my computer was playing 삐리뽐 빼리뽐 Bbiribbom Bbaeribom, a song from 16 years ago (that I first heard ~9 years ago).

I could say something like, if something that was expected to happen before I said these words happens (Ariana Grande's Instagram account posting anything after the end of this month) then <interpretation>.

This already seems too long and I was thinking I might delete the previous paragraph.

Why post here at all? Why not just do Google searches or post longer text with paragraphs into Google Translate, where I assume a government conspiracy is recording it? "Stories for smart people", pretty sure I linked this recently. But what if the reason for the story's outcome was the attempt to record it? If the purpose of showing a story is to help people who are interested in understanding it (people in the future), this is basically a third party. What if no one will help me because I want to help a third party, instead of just the person I'm focusing on?

If I did send a message to Ariana Grande on Chirp Club, it would have been a public message. If it had been possible to send a private message, I would have chosen the public one. Two reasons: to avoid implying that people were secretly learning of this idea (even if that was true, since I have contacted some people via email). And to avoid implying that I was secretly contacting anyone female. My Chirp Club account is currently banned, so it does not help with 'telling a story'.

I was going to say in a recent post, but forgot: COVID-19 pandemic was unpredictable. But the general class of 'large events' is predictable, just like earthquakes. If someone had thought of this idea halfway through one of the world wars, no one would have been interested in using it at that time (except maybe the countries that weren't fighting, like South America).

I say 'share this idea' because it's a simple and unambiguous action. If I could order someone to do things, I would first make them create all the polls. I would probably have made these polls myself if Reddit hadn't discontinued polls with the web client (desktop); if I'd made them, they would have gotten up to a few hundred votes each. They would not have affected discussions in society about any problems that the polls are relevant to, and it's also a biased sample. Older people don't use Reddit, for example.

Many of these polls also test the assumptions that people make. If people used this idea, many of the assumptions that people would make would change. As a large class of assumptions, "It's not possible to fix problems, so we should do X to avoid being affected by problems and to avoid wasting effort on fixing problems." Even a superintelligent AI in the future could not reliably predict how people would answer these questions now; it might give a response, but people would have no confidence in that response, even if it gets other things right that can be confirmed.

People who think a certain thing X often erroneously think that people have always thought X. "It's normal to use a bunch of plastic and throw it away." It can be helpful to learn that what society agreed was the truth was different in the past, because it suggests that people could be making similar mistakes in the present.



It doesn't make sense for me to think that I'll ever be in a relationship. What I can do is make people think that I would want to be in a relationship with them.

If Ariana Grande doesn't share this idea, it means she doesn't think I would be good enough to be in a relationship with her.

Obvious post is obvious

My plan was, do nothing until the scheduled posts get published.

This plan was affected by @9玥、 causing her video counts to drop. It became, "don't check her account until all scheduled posts get published". This was supposed to be sending a different signal than if I just checked her account every day like she had done nothing.

Typical ways that people judge whether other people are worth listening to:
1) Are other people listening to that person?
2) Is that person rich or successful in something they've tried to do?

But everyone starts at zero. The point is, it would be surprising if anything happened.

I say that people should share this idea. What I cannot do is offer evidence that someone else other than me thinks that people should share this idea.

What can a bunny do? Say that, "It is not acceptable for someone not to share this idea." If someone said this, I would side with that person. Suppose that Person X knows of this idea and is also interested in me. Someone with no influence can still say, "Person X should share this idea." If it's just me being harmed, I will probably forgive Person X no matter what she does.

I could also say, "If someone influential does not share this idea publicly within <time limit>, I am not interested in anyone who has had contact with a government conspiracy."

The post titled Time limit suggested a scenario where 100% of people had to do a 'good' action for it to succeed, similar to the apples game in the Liar Game movie. In fact, this scenario is one where 100% of people have to be 'bad'.

Does this post say anything that isn't obvious?

Forgot a title

Notes:

'when people are being stupid, hard to write about what they're doing without making them look stupid'

video, deciding to stop being a good person, comments

swat team recalled

whether knowing of this idea convinces people that other people are bad; example, Las Vegas shooting

IS: willingness to die, test of this.

Crime and Punishment

songs

Quotes:

"I did not read all the People articles because of the display bug. I thought the BBC article by Mark something was better than the People article about the same event. I would do a search about why her co-star left the production if not for the display bug"

display bug after searching for "did Ariana Grande cancel a concert tour due to Covid-19?" (and after clicking on Hoang video with intention of letting it play for watchtime, after getting vp9 bug earlier today)

"This seems obvious but maybe it wasn't. The 2013 Navy Yard attack lasted long enough that Obama could have ordered people to do something different than what they actually did. Aaron Alexis might have hoped not to die"

Links:

Ariana Grande Tearfully Thanks Fans at Eternal Sunshine Tour Finale

Ariana Grande Says She’s Recovering from a ‘Deep Cut’ Before Last 2 London Shows

Ariana Grande Calls Eternal Sunshine Tour a ‘Corrective Experience’

Ariana Grande completes tour and steps back from public life


MPD Navy Yard After Action Report | mpdc

District of Columbia | U.S. Attorney’s Office Closes Investigation Involving Fatal Shooting Of Aaron Alexis No Charges To Be Filed Against Officers Who Responded To Mass Murders At Washington Navy Yard | United States Department of Justice

Active shooter Washington Navy Yard. : r/washingtondc


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"What action would be best for the world?"

There's that quote (by me), that I couldn't find when I referred to it a couple months ago: "It's hard to know how to help the world. So, it's more common to help a part of it you like."

My view is simple: if someone knows of this idea, the best thing for them to do would be to share it.

But someone might say, "what if I have objectionable characteristics?"

Sometimes, when someone has done something bad, they can convince other people that they should not be punished. In Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon (2000), when the character Jen Yu (玉嬌龍, Yù Jiāolóng) returns to the place where she fought Shu Lien to prepare an antidote and convinces people not to attack her by holding up an item.

(Also, I did not know before that the character known as Jen has a name spelled like delicate dragon, and her love interest, Lo, has a name spelled like small tiger.)

Specific example: if the Islamic State knew of this idea, was it better for the world if they shared it? What if everyone in the IS who knew of it is now dead, and sharing it is no longer an option?

If someone thinks, "expecting to die is unusual. If someone experiences a change of circumstances that makes them expect to die, maybe they will act in an unexpected way." And so, four nuclear weapon states bombed the Islamic State, using warplanes that dropped conventional bombs.

(A fifth state that is widely suspected of possessing nuclear weapons did not bomb the Islamic State, but instead provided medical aid to wounded fighters from some groups affiliated with the IS.)

But what if the Islamic State's fighters only joined up because it paid really well, compared to other groups or even the official militaries of Iraq or Syria, and those males wanted money because there was a girl that they liked?


The Islamic State fought against the Yazidi ethnic group in Iraq. They asked the Yazidi people to convert to Islam, and when they refused or were hesitant, they killed the males. Later, the IS threatened to capture a dam in northern Iraq on the same river that flows through Baghdad, where the US embassy is located, and so the US started a war against the IS.

Was it best for the world for the US to start bombing the IS? Would it have better if the US had done nothing?

Faced with a choice of doing something, or doing nothing, many people find the choice of doing nothing to be more attractive. But they can simultaneously feel that the choice of doing something would be more moral: they might choose to do nothing simply because they think that it could be illegal for them to do something, even if that action seems to help other people. Relevant videos:

Guy Who Doesn't Understand the Trolley Problem

oh rats it’s the trolley problem

the trolley problem is easy, actually

Suppose that the US had done nothing. Just like Russia did nothing about the situation in Ukraine, which I will not attempt to imply was a good or bad choice, from 2014 until 2022. If it was, instead, the US that avoided attacking the IS from 2014 until 2022, would that matter?


Special characteristics of the 2013 Washington Navy Yard shooting: the FBI released security camera footage of the perpetrator seeing people who were running past a distant corridor intersection to leave the building, but avoiding them rather than moving towards them to shoot them. The FBI did not say why it released this footage; I think it was to let me know of this unusual characteristic. And second, the messages that Aaron Alexis wrote on the shotgun he used in the attack. Out of the four messages, at the moment I remember "My ELF weapon", and "better off this way".

Driven to commit a suicidal attack? Or preferring the small chance that he would survive the events, over an even smaller chance that he would have a happy life if he did not do it? If he was concerned about whether other people thought he was acting in the way that would be best for him, is it consistent with an explanation that he thought that the people he shot deserved to die because they were evil?

The Las Vegas shooting: again, it seems possible that the perpetrator hoped to live. The team that breached the wall of his room did not make any attempts to communicate with him, during the long period (about an hour) when he was not firing at the people outside.


I guess we could circle back to the Islamic State. Any serious attempts to change what the IS did through conversation? Countries like the US were upset when the IS started executing their citizens. Did they ever try to apologize for their military strikes on the IS that prompted this retaliation?

Or did they just act like teams in a video game or something, that just kill each other without attempting to talk?


Douyin user 9玥、@199966a went from 39 to 17 videos, and her second account 睡够了嘛👿 @60926178257 went from 44 to 3 videos. Maybe this was all she could do. Maybe this is all I can do. I could say other words, but I don't know if they would change anything.

I'm not unpublishing the post that I said I would unpublish if I logged in again, because she might have made this action because of that post. If she tried something, even if it was useless, I can't ignore it and just do nothing.

Original scheduled to post at 00:01, 30 Sep 2026.